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Polymarket wallet 0xded1a14e49c0166761a6ac5df63a254441506877 · on Polymarket since Sep 25, 2025 · also shown as Chilly-Neglect

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $24.3K
All-time profit: −$7.64K
Volume traded: $122K
All-time rank: #3,181,209
Markets traded: 13
Recent hit rate: —

Open positions

6 markets · $24.3K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 440d	Yes	20,278	63¢ → 73¢	$14,701	+$1,921 +15%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d	Yes	5,838	79¢ → 87¢	$5,050	+$450 +9.8%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d	Yes	7,842	51¢ → 59¢	$4,588	+$588 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	52	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2,500	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Settled - ready to redeem	No	24	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
45d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	BuyUp48¢	$26
45d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	BuyUp1¢	$27
45d	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyYes64¢	$6,151
45d	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyYes63¢	$154
45d	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyYes63¢	$3,078
45d	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyYes62¢	$5
45d	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyYes79¢	$710
45d	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyYes79¢	$2,029
45d	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyYes62¢	$2,053
45d	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyYes61¢	$128
45d	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyYes61¢	$411
45d	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyYes61¢	$1,027
45d	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BuyYes53¢	$2,066
45d	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BuyYes49¢	$1,036
45d	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BuyYes49¢	$1,036
45d	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyYes60¢	$103
45d	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyYes79¢	$1,015
45d	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyYes78¢	$914
99d	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BuyNo41¢	$10
291d	Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	SellYes92¢	$920
291d	Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	SellYes11¢	$137
291d	Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	SellYes1¢	$25
352d	Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	SellYes10¢	$989
352d	Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BuyYes14¢	$1,398
352d	Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	SellYes10¢	$1,392
352d	Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BuyYes38¢	$700
352d	Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BuyYes38¢	$1,000
352d	Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BuyYes38¢	$500
352d	Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BuyYes37¢	$1,000
352d	Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BuyYes39¢	$1,000
352d	Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BuyYes40¢	$1,000
353d	Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BuyYes97¢	$1,000
353d	Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BuyYes96¢	$1,000
353d	Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BuyYes97¢	$3,000
367d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	SellYes31¢	$2,082
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes70¢	$67
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes70¢	$7
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes70¢	$55
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes70¢	$475
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes70¢	$225
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes73¢	$583
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes84¢	$147
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes84¢	$42
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes84¢	$650
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes83¢	$117
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes81¢	$318
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes73¢	$147
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes80¢	$277
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes79¢	$256
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes79¢	$277
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes78¢	$189
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes77¢	$77
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes77¢	$700
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes75¢	$37
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes75¢	$103
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes73¢	$146
368d	Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	BuyYes72¢	$193
379d	Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BuyYes45¢	$450
380d	Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BuyYes67¢	$304
380d	Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BuyYes67¢	$366

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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