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Polymarket wallet 0xdf68d77b7b54a64c6a316d34aa1854b6e1ce96c3 · on Polymarket since Nov 1, 2025 · also shown as Violent-Blizzard
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 68¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$16 +47% |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 267d | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BuyNo68¢ | $34 |
| 310d | Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | BuyYes29¢ | $4 |
| 310d | Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | BuyYes29¢ | $6 |
| 310d | Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | BuyYes29¢ | $4 |
| 310d | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes59¢ | $118 |
| 310d | Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | BuyYes29¢ | $2 |
| 341d | Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | SellYes11¢ | $11 |
| 342d | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | BuyYes31¢ | $31 |
| 342d | Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | BuyYes64¢ | $64 |
| 342d | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | SellYes6¢ | $3 |
| 342d | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | SellYes29¢ | $15 |
| 345d | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | BuyYes36¢ | $18 |
| 345d | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | BuyYes15¢ | $8 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.