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Polymarket wallet 0xe74d4976e5e034182d708a3b9df602e72d4722fd · on Polymarket since Jan 9, 2024 · also shown as Frivolous-Fiction

Open on Polymarket ↗@PUMPAPOLY ↗

Against All Odds

Positions now worth: $16.2K
All-time profit: +$49.2K
Volume traded: $6.28M
All-time rank: #3,629
Markets traded: 574
Recent hit rate: 28%14 of last 50 closed

Open positions

10 markets · $16.2K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d	Yes	10,196	60¢ → 56¢	$5,659	−$449 −7.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d	No	4,972	53¢ → 77¢	$3,804	+$1,151 +43%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d	Yes	6,136	37¢ → 48¢	$2,914	+$637 +28%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	5,803	27¢ → 21¢	$1,219	−$356 −23%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d	No	7,000	9¢ → 17¢	$1,190	+$543 +84%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d	Yes	1,256	58¢ → 62¢	$772	+$46 +6.3%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	480	60¢ → 64¢	$308	+$17 +5.9%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Ends in 440d	Yes	4,447	5¢ → 5¢	$216	+$11 +5.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d	Yes	2,121	3¢ → 6¢	$129	+$75 +137%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Ends in 439d	Yes	990	6¢ → 4¢	$35	−$26 −42%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
2h	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$250
17h	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes27¢	$97
21h	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	BuyNo15¢	$307
22h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	BuyYes58¢	$381
23h	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	SellNo1¢	$23
23h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	BuyYes58¢	$358
23h	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	SellNo1¢	$2
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	BuyNo2¢	$110
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	BuyNo3¢	$1
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellNo86¢	$920
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellNo86¢	$1,290
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyNo22¢	$17
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyNo35¢	$175
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyNo38¢	$6
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyNo38¢	$33
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyNo35¢	$16
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyNo36¢	$156
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyNo33¢	$46
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyNo35¢	$410
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyNo31¢	$36
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	SellYes4¢	$8
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	SellYes4¢	$3
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$10
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$5
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?	BuyYes5¢	$3
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$11
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	BuyYes11¢	$17
2d	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$9
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$16
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$14
2d	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$5
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$15
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	BuyYes13¢	$23
2d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes28¢	$103
2d	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?	BuyYes8¢	$16
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$16
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$11
2d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes28¢	$1,161
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$55
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	BuyYes20¢	$60
2d	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?	BuyYes18¢	$116
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$2
2d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$9
2d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$0
2d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	BuyYes39¢	$78
2d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$1
2d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$1
2d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$0
2d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$1
2d	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	SellYes22¢	$216
2d	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	SellYes22¢	$108
2d	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	BuyYes23¢	$348
2d	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes60¢	$295
2d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	BuyNo58¢	$549
3d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?	SellYes<1¢	$2
3d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	SellNo1¢	$4
3d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 14?	SellNo2¢	$7
3d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?	SellYes1¢	$2
3d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?	BuyYes1¢	$12
3d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 14?	BuyNo1¢	$5

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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