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Polymarket wallet 0xee6bd0c5bf607a33d675a7eceac71174f477046b · on Polymarket since Mar 16, 2026 · also shown as Lumbering-Merchant
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 271 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$23 −81% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 347 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$17 −76% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44d | Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $22 |
| 90d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | Buy29¢ | $110 |
| 93d | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | Sell99¢ | $141 |
| 94d | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | Buy26¢ | $38 |
| 215d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $29 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.