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Polymarket wallet 0xeecfd0352258553a3bde983167f648fcebebba81 · on Polymarket since Nov 25, 2024 · also shown as Jaunty-Crumb
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +67% |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +69% |
| Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will Biden finish his term?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 686d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | BuyNo28¢ | $1 |
| 686d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo3¢ | $3 |
| 688d | Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | BuyYes91¢ | $2 |
| 688d | Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? | Buy90k45¢ | $1 |
| 688d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 690d | Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates? | BuyNo34¢ | $1 |
| 690d | Will Biden finish his term? | BuyNo9¢ | $1 |
| 690d | Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29? | BuyNo83¢ | $1 |
| 690d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BuyYes95¢ | $1 |
| 690d | Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC? | BuyNo85¢ | $1 |
| 690d | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo59¢ | $1 |
| 690d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo60¢ | $1 |
| 690d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo60¢ | $1 |
| 690d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo18¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.