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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620d |  debased | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,345 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 620d |  NOMOREGAMBLE | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,101 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 620d |  MotherTheresa12 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $151,907 | +$550 +0.4% | 20 |
| 620d | Niu133 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,760 | −$40 −0.5% | — |
| 620d | KennyM2 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,830 | −$19 −0.7% | — |
| 621d | Steve07 | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,061 | −$61 −0.8% | — |
| 621d | nonkenny907 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $22,139 | −$641 −2.9% | — |
| 621d | Cashkar | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 621d | HBCM | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo100¢ | $14,457 | −$73 −0.5% | — |
| 621d |  MrKangaroo | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,694 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 621d | Malganis | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,854 | −$19 −1.0% | — |
| 621d | lug | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo100¢ | $2,466 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 622d |  SPMontreal | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 622d |  TomSawyer-030 | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,615 | −$24 −0.3% | — |
| 622d | Whale123 | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,460 | −$36 −0.5% | — |
| 622d | mrBet | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,381 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 622d |  ms.. | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 622d |  Debosnys | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,581 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 622d |  MisTKy37 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $14,523 | +$1,678 +12% | 23 |
| 622d |  justchillin | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,536 | −$77 −1.4% | — |
| 622d | RBP7 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $132,980 | +$450 +0.3% | 20 |
| 622d |  Skankhunt42. | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,231 | −$26 −1.2% | — |
| 622d |  Tenebrus7 | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$27 +2.4% | 20 |
| 622d | DefaultUser | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,410 | +$44 +1.8% | 20 |
| 623d | nghiapham | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,487 | +$93 +1.1% | 20 |
| 623d |  DoneWithIt | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 623d | justchillin2 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,610 | +$167 +2.2% | 20 |
| 623d | hypepoled | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,732 | −$103 −3.8% | — |
| 623d |  d1k212 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,648 | −$115 −3.1% | — |
| 623d | ajmakid | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | −$30 −2.1% | — |
| 623d | Lopgft | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | −$24 −2.1% | — |
| 623d | pennycc2 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $75,389 | +$311 +0.4% | 20 |
| 623d |  SerGamblesalot | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | −$17 −1.5% | — |
| 623d |  BigRon | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,907 | −$80 −1.3% | — |
| 623d | Aco-632 | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | −$19 −1.2% | — |
| 623d | SP10 | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | −$15 −1.1% | — |
| 623d | Sharp-Spruce | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$12 −1.2% | — |
| 623d | PolyCharm | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 623d | RealKeyserSoze2 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,468 | −$224 −5.0% | — |
| 623d | Aco-632 | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$11 +0.7% | 20 |
| 623d | d1k212 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,709 | +$31 +0.8% | 20 |
| 623d |  HoshinoAI4 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,046 | +$206 +1.7% | 20 |
| 623d | Niu132 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,763 | +$37 +0.4% | 20 |
| 623d | ryzt | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$81 +7.0% | 20 |
| 623d | DoneWithIt2 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,029 | +$194 +6.4% | 20 |
| 623d | Lopgft | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$19 +1.9% | 20 |
| 623d |  asdfasfdasfdas | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$44 +2.0% | 20 |
| 623d | hypepoled | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,774 | +$61 +2.2% | 20 |
| 623d | HBCM2 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,157 | +$574 +4.4% | 20 |
| 623d | sdsdsdsd32 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,873 | −$295 −10% | — |
| 623d | Skankhunt42.5 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $9,690 | +$1,241 +13% | 24 |
| 623d | BigRon | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,463 | +$501 +11% | 20 |
| 623d |  Tian-Wen | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$269 +26% | 20 |
| 623d | DeRuina | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 20 |
| 623d | Cbarbhwux3 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,717 | +$787 +14% | 20 |
| 623d | Rootcanal4u | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,027 | −$1,027 −100% | 20 |
| 623d |  0x906BAB777064DDBb6230530A56C9B4c752e1fD33 fills | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,099 | −$594 −14% | — |
| 623d | BtheB | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$164 −16% | — |
| 623d |  Naichli | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | −$226 −17% | — |
| 623d | Tian-Wen | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$151 −14% | — |
YourPresident106,337 shares
Zeeee17 sharesOn November 25, Donald Trump announced that he would "sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States". (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113546215051155542). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 25% or greater tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 25% or greater tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada is enacted. If a tariff is instituted on Mexico but not Canada, or on Canada but not Mexico, it will still qualify. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.