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Polymarket wallet 0x448c97858538f37398bc292ab9c5a6ae345aa830 · on Polymarket since Jun 14, 2024 · also shown as Cumbersome-Burnout
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $31 | +$11 +54% |
| Canada election called before April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$3 +25% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 346 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Trudeau out in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trudeau out before April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 242 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Trump and Biden debate before Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 286 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 665d | Trudeau out before April? | BuyNo10¢ | $10 |
| 665d | Canada election called before April? | BuyYes80¢ | $10 |
| 665d | Trudeau out in 2024? | BuyYes6¢ | $5 |
| 665d | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyNo65¢ | $20 |
| 665d | Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 810d | Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SellYes1¢ | $2 |
| 810d | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SellNo>99¢ | $162 |
| 833d | Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SellYes8¢ | $26 |
| 833d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SellYes3¢ | $10 |
| 833d | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SellNo58¢ | $87 |
| 855d | Trump and Biden debate before Election? | BuyNo7¢ | $20 |
| 855d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BuyYes7¢ | $50 |
| 855d | Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 855d | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BuyNo16¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.