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Polymarket wallet 0xf3b49cca2910eef1bcbfccfc43c00090f571b2e4 · on Polymarket since Feb 26, 2026 · also shown as Pastel-Folk
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 172 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 282 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 135 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 902 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89d | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BuyNo1¢ | $19 |
| 130d | Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9? | BuyNo29¢ | $51 |
| 132d | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BuyYes17¢ | $50 |
| 167d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 169d | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BuyYes30¢ | $1 |
| 171d | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $48 |
| 171d | Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes37¢ | $52 |
| 208d | Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | SellYes96¢ | $1,259 |
| 231d | Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | BuyYes9¢ | $124 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.