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Polymarket wallet 0xf469413f8b6a71d533fb0db33c16517e8eb6ca36 · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,047 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$161 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158d | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BuyNo15¢ | $161 |
| 232d | Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes19¢ | $30 |
| 277d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes34¢ | $20 |
| 277d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.