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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,738 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $87 | −$9 −9.5% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.7% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102d | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BuyYes92¢ | $10 |
| 104d | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $35 |
| 104d | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $68 |
| 150d | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SellYes27¢ | $50 |
| 150d | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $54 |
| 153d | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SellYes56¢ | $49 |
| 153d | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BuyYes54¢ | $53 |
| 154d | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SellYes62¢ | $67 |
| 154d | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes35¢ | $21 |
| 155d | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $10 |
| 156d | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes47¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.