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Polymarket wallet 0xfb476f387cc7c45e00639d50d6773ef24da60eca · on Polymarket since Jan 22, 2026 · also shown as Gentle-Prompt
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 21,554 | 37¢ → 12¢ | $2,479 | −$5,500 −69% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 507 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$294 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 389 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 357 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes19¢ | $499 |
| 102d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes34¢ | $499 |
| 108d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes42¢ | $1,000 |
| 109d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes41¢ | $991 |
| 110d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes40¢ | $4,990 |
| 123d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SellYes50¢ | $5,004 |
| 132d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes40¢ | $998 |
| 134d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes45¢ | $1,415 |
| 136d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes49¢ | $2,108 |
| 172d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $3,368 |
| 179d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BuyYes58¢ | $294 |
| 179d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo73¢ | $2,500 |
| 245d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 19? | BuyYes13¢ | $51 |
| 245d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 19? | BuyYes19¢ | $160 |
| 245d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19? | BuyYes25¢ | $88 |
| 268d | UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BuyYadong36¢ | $30 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.