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Polymarket wallet 0xfb53642c6ca2043ef8ceac58b72a7ded16fc1aad · on Polymarket since Feb 11, 2026 · also shown as Loose-Replica
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. HornetsSettled - ready to redeem | Hawks | 40 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 390 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 286 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 24 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 243d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 247d | Hawks vs. Hornets | BuyHawks5¢ | $2 |
| 247d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 247d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BuyUp41¢ | $10 |
| 247d | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BuyYes1¢ | $11 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 248d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 248d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes8¢ | $2 |
| 248d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.