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Polymarket wallet 0xfb57f8670d2f51a76b0ce40c533ed7d7328c0a46 · on Polymarket since Apr 11, 2025 · also shown as Scholarly-Mass
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 33,226 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $25,750 | −$308 −1.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 22,841 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $21,357 | +$1,619 +8.2% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,582 | 52¢ → 42¢ | $3,147 | −$823 −21% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,000 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $690 | −$510 −43% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 6,700 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $302 | −$637 −68% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4,227 | 25¢ → 5¢ | $199 | −$875 −81% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,400 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $17 | −$199 −92% |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,900 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,038 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.