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Polymarket wallet 0xfb99573e8384f9fc467f7522fa6fb110e2c9276e · on Polymarket since Nov 10, 2025 · also shown as Watery-Distortion
1488
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?Ends in 230d | Yes | 800 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $35 | +$19 +121% |
| Will Gemini be accused of insider trading?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,815 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$203 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120,526 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$362 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 753 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$298 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133d | Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? | BuyYes2¢ | $17 |
| 135d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $376 |
| 234d | Will Gemini be accused of insider trading? | BuyYes1¢ | $203 |
| 234d | Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | SellYes27¢ | $203 |
| 235d | Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | BuyYes40¢ | $595 |
| 341d | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | BuyYes8¢ | $400 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.