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Polymarket wallet 0xfbe66593e49c4e7a7180a2582f041158bfb800f8 · on Polymarket since Feb 5, 2025 · also shown as Elementary-Cesspool
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 336,985 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $291,492 | +$81,648 +39% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 10,848 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $10,088 | +$433 +4.5% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90,590 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55,740 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 297,257 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98,785 −100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 259 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$211 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 32 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.