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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?Ends in 379d | No | 54 | 37¢ → 38¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$2 +29% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 6 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$1 +16% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 42¢ → 56¢ | $3 | +$1 +33% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.9% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? | BuyYes32¢ | $1 |
| 3d | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BuyYes42¢ | $2 |
| 5d | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BuyNo61¢ | $6 |
| 5d | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo79¢ | $5 |
| 5d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | SellNo29¢ | $10 |
| 5d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BuyNo30¢ | $10 |
| 5d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? | BuyNo37¢ | $20 |
| 5d | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo80¢ | $5 |
| 5d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.