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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.05+ | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 1.08+ | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 1.11+ | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 1.13+ | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 1.15+ | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 1.18+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1009d | professorx | 1.15+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,324 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1009d | 1.18+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,207 | +$93 +2.9% | 4 | |
| 1012d | chilling2 fills | 1.08+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,662 | +$366 +1.8% | 4 |
| 1012d | chilling3 fills | 1.11+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $67,746 | +$1,903 +2.8% | 4 |
| 1012d | chilling | 1.13+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $40,616 | +$452 +1.1% | 4 |
| 1012d | 1.15+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,390 | +$110 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 1013d | 1.11+ | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | −$40 −2.0% | — | |
| 1014d | 1.05+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,418 | −$27 −0.6% | — | |
| 1015d | 1.15+ | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,451 | −$281 −6.3% | — | |
| 1015d | vainglorious87 | 1.18+ | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$432 +43% | 4 |
| 1016d | 1.13+ | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,185 | −$116 −3.6% | — | |
| 1016d | 1.11+ | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$54 −4.2% | — | |
| 1016d | 1.15+ | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,883 | −$117 −6.2% | — | |
| 1018d | GummiMummi | 1.13+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | +$90 +1.8% | 4 |
| 1018d | 1.13+ | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | −$64 −1.7% | — | |
| 1022d | 1.15+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,250 | +$104 +2.5% | 4 | |
| 1024d | 1.15+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$46 +2.7% | 4 | |
| 1024d | 1.15+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$31 +2.8% | 4 | |
| 1026d | 1.08+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | +$18 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 1029d | 1.08+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | +$26 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 1030d | 1.08+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$39 +1.9% | 4 | |
| 1038d | 1.11+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,908 | +$92 +2.4% | 4 | |
| 1040d | 1.13+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $18,231 | +$1,174 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 1041d | 1.13+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,931 | +$190 +3.2% | 4 | |
| 1043d | 1.13+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,825 | +$59 +3.2% | 4 | |
| 1043d | 1.18+ | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | −$180 −9.9% | — | |
| 1043d | 1.15+ | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,853 | +$1,028 +27% | 4 | |
| 1046d | 1.13+ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,183 | +$153 +4.8% | 4 | |
| 1046d | 1.08+ | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,789 | −$101 −2.7% | — | |
| 1048d | 1.18+ | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 4 | |
| 1051d | GummiMummi | 1.11+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,144 | +$159 +3.1% | 4 |
| 1052d | 1.13+ | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $15,810 | +$1,190 +7.5% | 4 | |
| 1053d | 1.13+ | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 4 | |
| 1055d | 1.13+ | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,299 | +$200 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 1066d | 1.13+ | BuyNo9¢ → 0¢ | $2,588 | −$2,588 −100% | 11 | |
| 1069d | just read the instructions | 1.11+ | BuyNo6¢ → 0¢ | $1,195 | −$1,195 −100% | 5 |
| 1072d | 1.05+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$23 +1.9% | 4 | |
| 1073d | 1.11+ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $24,700 | +$1,300 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 1074d | style-points | 1.11+ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 4 |
| 1078d | 1.08+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | +$78 +3.2% | 4 | |
| 1078d | 1.11+ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 1092d | 1.11+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,424 | +$602 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 1094d | just read the instructions | 1.13+ | BuyNo13¢ → 0¢ | $1,551 | −$1,551 −100% | 7 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1.05+ means the market gives it about 100%.