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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 27% | +24 pts | +25 pts | — · 55¢ | — | in 185d |
| Oklahoma State | 21% | +18 pts | +9 pts | — · 43¢ | — | in 185d |
| UCLA | 21% | +19 pts | +19 pts | <1¢ · 41¢ (41¢) | — | in 185d |
| Iowa | 19% | +10 pts | +16 pts | <1¢ · 38¢ (38¢) | — | in 185d |
| Kentucky | 18% | +6 pts | −4 pts | 2¢ · 35¢ (34¢) | — | in 185d |
| Florida | 17% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 16¢ · 18¢ (2¢) | — | in 185d |
| Duke | 14% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | — | in 185d |
| Kansas | 14% | +11 pts | +12 pts | <1¢ · 28¢ (28¢) | — | in 185d |
| Providence | 12% | −7 pts | −9 pts | <1¢ · 24¢ (24¢) | — | in 185d |
| Nebraska | 9% | +1 pts | +7 pts | <1¢ · 19¢ (19¢) | — | in 185d |
| Illinois | 9% | — | +1 pts | 7¢ · 11¢ (4¢) | — | in 185d |
| Louisville | 7% | +3 pts | +3 pts | 3¢ · 11¢ (8¢) | — | in 185d |
| UConn | 5% | — | +3 pts | 2¢ · 8¢ (6¢) | — | in 185d |
| Arkansas | 5% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 10¢ (10¢) | — | in 185d |
| Indiana | 5% | — | — | <1¢ · 10¢ (10¢) | — | in 185d |
| Gonzaga | 5% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 185d |
| USC | 5% | — | — | — · 10¢ | — | in 185d |
| St. John's | 5% | — | — | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 185d |
| Texas | 5% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 185d |
| Texas Tech | 4% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 185d |
| Miami | 4% | — | — | <1¢ · 8¢ (8¢) | — | in 185d |
| Texas A&M | 4% | — | — | — · 8¢ | — | in 185d |
| Georgia | 4% | — | −1 pts | — · 8¢ | — | in 185d |
| Michigan | 4% | — | — | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | in 185d |
| Vanderbilt | 4% | — | +3 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | in 185d |
| Michigan State | 4% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 185d |
| Tennessee | 4% | — | +2 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | in 185d |
| Missouri | 4% | — | −8 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | in 185d |
| VCU | 3% | — | +1 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | in 185d |
| Oklahoma | 3% | — | 0 pts | — · 7¢ | — | in 185d |
| Alabama | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 185d |
| Ohio State | 3% | — | +1 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 185d |
| Oregon | 3% | — | −18 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 185d |
| Iowa State | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 185d |
| North Carolina | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 185d |
| BYU | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 185d |
| Creighton | 3% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 185d |
| Arizona | 2% | — | −3 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 185d |
| Wisconsin | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 185d |
| Purdue | 2% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 185d |
| Houston | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 185d |
| Virginia | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $448 | in 185d |
| Saint Louis | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $50 | in 185d |
| Villanova | <1% | 0 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $142 | in 185d |
| West Virginia | <1% | — | −3 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 185d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 27¢ for TCU means the market gives it about 27%.