| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 253 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $176 | −$4 −2.2% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 549 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $135 | −$14 −9.3% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 114 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $109 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 203 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $109 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 145 | 69¢ → 68¢ | $98 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%?Ends in 17d | No | 118 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $96 | −$4 −4.0% |
| Will Atanas Atanasov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | No | 66 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $66 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Krum Zarkov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | No | 66 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $66 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 83 | 75¢ → 61¢ | $50 | −$12 −19% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?Ends in 45d | No | 60 | 78¢ → 72¢ | $43 | −$4 −8.0% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?Ends in 17d | No | 68 | 73¢ → 59¢ | $40 | −$10 −20% |
| Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | No | 67 | 68¢ → 57¢ | $39 | −$7 −15% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 83 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $33 | +$1 +4.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 29 | 79¢ → 69¢ | $20 | −$3 −13% |
| Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Ends in 240d | No | 48 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $17 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 284 | 25¢ → 6¢ | $16 | −$55 −78% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 27 | 70¢ → 58¢ | $16 | −$3 −17% |
| Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Ends in 83d | No | 50 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $13 | −$1 −7.4% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 31 | 9¢ → 26¢ | $8 | +$5 +188% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 31 | 9¢ → 26¢ | $8 | +$5 +186% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 199 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $8 | +$6 +252% |
| Will China win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 111d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 15¢ | $8 | +$6 +305% |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,707 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$46 −87% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 284 | 25¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$65 −91% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,584 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$114 −96% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 10,584 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$114 −96% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 10,584 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$114 −96% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 10,584 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$114 −96% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 10,584 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$114 −96% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,329 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$111 −96% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 9,818 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$105 −96% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 53d | No | 25 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,777 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$16 −78% |
| Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 240d | Yes | 37 | 2¢ → 11¢ | $4 | +$4 +643% |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,244 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$89 −96% |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 81 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$12 −75% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 855 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$6 −60% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 14¢ → 10¢ | $4 | −$2 −32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 4 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +30% |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,467 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$80 −96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 9¢ → 72¢ | $4 | +$3 +687% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 34% to 36%?Ends in 2d | No | 5 | 77¢ → 69¢ | $3 | −$0 −11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 4 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 2 | 68¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$1 +47% |
| Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be above 17%?Ends in 45d | Yes | 19 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $2 | −$1 −25% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 80¢ → 72¢ | $2 | −$0 −10% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,470 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$54 −96% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 102 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$1 −26% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,422 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$53 −96% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 142 | 20¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$26 −93% |
| Will Iran win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 111d | Yes | 35 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $2 | +$1 +62% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 125 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$3 −57% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will TCU win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?Ends in 184d | Yes | 7 | 1¢ → 27¢ | $2 | +$2 +3205% |
| Will Natalia Kiselova win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Jordan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 111d | Yes | 35 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$0 +35% |
| Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,383 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$90 −98% |
| Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,336 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$88 −98% |
| Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,330 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$88 −98% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 142 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$27 −94% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 21% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 13¢ | $2 | +$1 +64% |
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,216 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$85 −98% |
| Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,216 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$85 −98% |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,216 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$85 −98% |
| Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,038 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$81 −98% |
| Will Oklahoma State win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?Ends in 184d | Yes | 7 | 1¢ → 22¢ | $1 | +$1 +2606% |
| Will Thinky be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 102 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −49% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 2 | 78¢ → 74¢ | $1 | −$0 −5.8% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Syria win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 111d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −22% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 5 | 44¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$1 −35% |
| Will Providence win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?Ends in 184d | Yes | 7 | 1¢ → 21¢ | $1 | +$1 +2388% |
| Will Liverpool finish first in UCL league phase?Ends in 133d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 7¢ | $1 | +$1 +194% |
| Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Ends in 134d | Yes | 13 | 3¢ → 11¢ | $1 | +$1 +247% |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 71 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −32% |
| Will Vietnam win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 111d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −30% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 111d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −30% |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 2,594 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$43 −97% |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 2,594 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$43 −97% |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 2,594 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$43 −97% |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 2,594 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$43 −97% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | Yes | 855 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$8 −87% |
| Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 253 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$3 −68% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 84 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −47% |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,484 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,484 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$76 −98% |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,484 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 2,474 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$41 −97% |
| Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 2,474 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$41 −97% |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 2,474 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$41 −97% |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,470 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Ends in 134d | Yes | 13 | 3¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$1 +214% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,376 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$73 −98% |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,329 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$72 −98% |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,329 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$72 −98% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,329 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$72 −98% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,329 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$72 −98% |
