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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654d | SomeOne45 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,412 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 654d |  Car5 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $8,875 | +$3,061 +34% | 20 |
| 654d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,869 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 655d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec3 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,764 | +$144 +1.6% | 20 |
| 657d | lilypop | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,091 | +$50 +2.4% | 20 |
| 657d | SkibidiRizz-303 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,227 | −$131 −4.1% | — |
| 657d | Moj | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,741 | −$197 −4.1% | — |
| 658d |  kekkone | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | −$52 −4.2% | — |
| 659d |  asico | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$89 +3.1% | 20 |
| 661d | SkibidiRizz-303 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,901 | +$138 +3.5% | 20 |
| 661d | sihowes | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,113 | +$97 +4.6% | 20 |
| 661d |  scottilicious3 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,751 | −$803 −5.8% | — |
| 661d | OPMSucks | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,227 | +$93 +4.2% | 20 |
| 661d | polywog5 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $15,908 | +$14,749 +93% | 20 |
| 663d | greengasper | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | +$1,043 +100% | — |
| 663d | greengasper | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 25 |
| 663d | denizz2 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $14,580 | −$1,235 −8.5% | — |
| 664d | drrdre | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,758 | +$94 +5.3% | 20 |
| 664d | DN12 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$73 +5.1% | 20 |
| 664d | scottilicious2 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,344 | +$615 +5.9% | 20 |
| 665d |  XiJinPing-4787 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $27,408 | −$4,230 −15% | — |
| 665d |  ARudeEgg | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$79 +5.3% | 20 |
| 666d | DeezzNutzz2 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $7,958 | −$861 −11% | — |
| 666d | DeezzNutzz29 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $171,465 | +$19,611 +11% | 20 |
| 667d | Saltyballs12 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $40,822 | −$3,811 −9.3% | — |
| 667d | Saltyballs18 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $39,319 | +$7,333 +19% | 20 |
| 667d | BlindGibbon | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$408 +10% | 20 |
| 670d | 0x5C7Af7bFD94cb9dAEbdE66Ed922a34d68949Ee20 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 30 |
| 670d | denizz | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$268 +11% | 20 |
| 670d | GHJ1234 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,386 | −$329 −14% | — |
| 671d | dabdab | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,352 | −$243 −10% | — |
| 671d | cashy | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,862 | −$471 −16% | — |
| 672d | Nowhere-Man | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | +$195 +14% | 20 |
| 673d | KokoVeLeon36 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $16,502 | +$5,000 +30% | 20 |
| 673d |  mr.ozi3 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $6,743 | +$1,442 +21% | 20 |
| 673d | KrackenSruster | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$169 +14% | 20 |
| 673d | dabdab | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$207 +21% | 20 |
| 673d | AlexPro | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | −$237 −19% | — |
| 673d | AlexPro | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$467 +35% | 20 |
| 673d | KennyM | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | −$408 −31% | — |
| 673d | aadvark | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | −$260 −12% | — |
| 674d |  DumplingBMF | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$85 +5.1% | 20 |
| 675d |  WolkOld | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | −$89 −8.4% | — |
| 676d | XiJinPing-47811 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $14,190 | +$4,168 +29% | 20 |
| 676d |  Libitum4 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $12,826 | +$8,234 +64% | 20 |
| 678d | Libitum4 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $10,018 | −$4,784 −48% | — |
| 679d | CC3-008 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$229 −12% | — |
| 679d | mr.ozi | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,793 | −$394 −10% | — |
| 680d | GHJ1234 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | +$210 +7.5% | 20 |
| 680d | KokoVeLeon35 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $9,202 | −$2,776 −30% | — |
| 684d | Cool600 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$113 −11% | — |
| 684d | Frogy | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $14,524 | +$948 +6.5% | 20 |
| 685d | Mou-454 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$169 +12% | 20 |
| 685d |  Mr-Yolos | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | −$325 −15% | — |
| 685d |  Blunderton2 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,182 | −$997 −31% | — |
| 687d | GodPunishment | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | −$180 −16% | — |
| 688d | Horrible-Blazer3 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $4,514 | −$1,486 −33% | — |
| 688d | Moj2 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $3,074 | +$1,951 +63% | 20 |
| 688d |  TheFund | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$376 +26% | 20 |
| 689d | Blunderton2 fills | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $5,310 | +$1,812 +34% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between October 27, ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.