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Polymarket wallet 0xf0d9af9effd0b4a039899901ba19a05ea1a3e4ee · on Polymarket since Jul 25, 2024 · also shown as Grouchy-Millstone
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26,687 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9,363 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,030 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,283 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41,501 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9,381 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103,983 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32,674 −100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68,679 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32,963 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 284,382 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96,429 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,814 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,501 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 415 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.