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Polymarket wallet 0x8761e78eb012eac86d79500e3b21e0c8fd978684 · on Polymarket since Jul 23, 2024 · also shown as Thirsty-Riser
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.5% |
| RASMR vs. ThreadguySettled - ready to redeem | Rasmr | 2 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $1 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 658d | Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April? | BuyYes51¢ | $1 |
| 658d | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 658d | RASMR vs. Threadguy | BuyRasmr50¢ | $1 |
| 658d | Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction? | BuyNo70¢ | $1 |
| 665d | Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 665d | Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024? | BuyYes83¢ | $1 |
| 696d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | BuyNo52¢ | $1 |
| 696d | Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024? | BuyYes68¢ | $1 |
| 742d | Will Trump say "bullet" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally? | BuyNo65¢ | $1 |
| 742d | Will Elon Musk speak at Trump's Pennsylvania rally Saturday? | BuyNo41¢ | $1 |
| 742d | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BuyVance82¢ | $1 |
| 742d | Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.