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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250-300k | 100% | +51 pts | +89 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <150k | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-200k | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-250k | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-350k | 0% | −47 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350k+ | 0% | 0 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d |  ZhangMuZhisDaddy | 250-300k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,209 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 70d | SweetChariot | 250-300k | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,324 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
Ariana Grande's new album 'Petal' is expected to release July 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Ariana Grande's album 'Petal', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Petal' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 250-300k means the market gives it about 100%.