Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Decrease rates | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25 bps increase | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50+ bps increase | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212d | luluphonon716 | No change | SellYes>99¢ | $8,771 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 212d | chriszyy32 fills | No change | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,893 | +$14 +0.1% | 10 |
| 212d | influenz.eth6 fills | 25 bps increase | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,159 | +$141 +1.7% | 10 |
| 212d | tianjiyuyunzhilu2 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,984 | +$70 +1.0% | 10 |
| 212d | nonkenny902 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,923 | +$59 +1.2% | 10 |
| 212d | TheRealWarMonger | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$9 +0.8% | 10 |
| 213d |  KatieSprygada1 | 50+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,896 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 214d | EdgeSan | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$15 +1.1% | 10 |
| 214d | jasonshui | No change | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,091 | −$57 −2.7% | — |
| 214d | mwenya3 fills | No change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,696 | +$146 +3.1% | 11 |
| 215d | influenz.eth11 fills | 50+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,340 | +$47 +0.4% | 10 |
| 215d | LIQUID8dCAP | No change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,610 | +$27 +1.6% | 10 |
| 215d |  kaspersz | No change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$19 +1.8% | 10 |
| 215d | nicdan | No change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$24 +2.0% | 10 |
| 216d | influenz.eth9 fills | Decrease rates | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,039 | +$27 +0.2% | 10 |
| 217d | EwokGoon | No change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,013 | +$47 +2.3% | 10 |
| 218d | QMG-SCALAR | 50+ bps increase | BuyNo100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 10 |
| 220d |  ditto5552 fills | No change | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $15,996 | +$972 +6.1% | 10 |
| 221d | chunqiu6 fills | No change | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $14,826 | +$817 +5.5% | 10 |
| 221d | dsyopklslsa | Decrease rates | SellNo>99¢ | $2,180 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 221d | dsyopklslsa | Decrease rates | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,182 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 221d | QMG-CORE8 fills | 50+ bps increase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,365 | +$157 +0.8% | 10 |
| 222d | podairpod | No change | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$44 −4.2% | — |
| 222d | Wakin | 50+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,003 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 225d | 0x241F...e15a | 25 bps increase | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | −$30 −2.7% | — |
| 225d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | No change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,023 | +$143 +2.9% | 10 |
| 225d |  ComingBack | No change | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | −$35 −3.1% | — |
| 225d | QMG-CORE | 50+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,900 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 225d | QMG-CORE4 fills | No change | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,678 | +$281 +4.9% | 10 |
| 226d | luluphonon7162 fills | No change | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,206 | +$112 +5.1% | 10 |
| 228d | 0xB16B00B5 | Decrease rates | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,849 | +$17 +0.9% | 10 |
| 230d | TheRealWarMonger | No change | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$92 −7.8% | — |
| 231d | predictgeek | No change | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | +$134 +7.7% | 10 |
| 232d | rspa | No change | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,384 | −$228 −6.7% | — |
| 232d | rspa3 fills | No change | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,334 | +$179 +5.4% | 10 |
| 234d | zerionig | Decrease rates | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 234d | fdsfg156 | Decrease rates | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 234d | fdsfg156 | Decrease rates | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,584 | +$16 +0.6% | 10 |
| 234d | zerionig | Decrease rates | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$7 +0.6% | 10 |
| 234d | Passionate-Left | No change | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$96 +8.7% | 10 |
| 235d | jasonshui | No change | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$130 +10% | 10 |
| 235d | tktt | No change | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,107 | −$230 −11% | — |
| 236d | mastarbu | Decrease rates | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 236d | Clicia | No change | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$126 +11% | 10 |
| 236d | mastarbu | Decrease rates | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$8 +0.6% | 10 |
| 237d | cq-6 | 25 bps increase | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$106 −9.7% | — |
| 238d |  Festka | No change | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | +$738 +59% | 10 |
| 238d | 0xB16B00B5 | No change | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | +$751 +59% | 10 |
| 240d | k1ze5pl | No change | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$97 +8.8% | 10 |
| 240d | hudjfk | Decrease rates | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,189 | −$15 −0.7% | — |
| 240d | hudjfk | Decrease rates | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,192 | +$13 +0.6% | 10 |
| 245d | neutralwave23 | No change | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$317 +16% | 10 |
| 252d |  stormshadow | Decrease rates | SellNo>99¢ | $1,431 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 255d |  addmore | No change | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | +$329 +24% | 10 |
| 255d | 9999999999 | Decrease rates | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$9 +0.7% | 10 |
| 255d | 77777777777 | Decrease rates | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | +$10 +0.7% | 10 |
| 262d | ox220234 | No change | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,534 | −$766 −30% | — |
| 262d | acco | No change | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,688 | −$812 −30% | — |
| 262d | 90dayse | No change | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,458 | −$742 −30% | — |
| 262d | bitlj1 | No change | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,112 | −$638 −30% | — |
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for March is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's March 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No change means the market gives it about 100%.