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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decrease | 100% | +40 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| No Change | 0% | −41 pts | −67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Increase | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85d | stinger882009 | Decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,373 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 85d | shiva59 | Decrease | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,966 | −$36 −0.9% | — |
| 85d |  noreasapa | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,028 | +$14 +0.1% | 10 |
| 85d | kukubaja | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,537 | +$8 +0.3% | 10 |
| 85d | byteA | Decrease | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$691 +57% | 10 |
| 85d | 7472812 fills | Decrease | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $3,747 | +$2,012 +54% | 15 |
| 86d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Increase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,305 | +$23 +1.0% | 10 |
| 86d | BYD772 fills | Decrease | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $7,937 | +$5,103 +64% | 18 |
| 86d | livepo1y | Increase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$12 +1.1% | 10 |
| 86d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | Increase | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$22 +2.0% | 10 |
| 87d | shiva59 | Decrease | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$859 +61% | 15 |
| 87d | AlexZabbi007 | Decrease | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $2,678 | −$2,678 −100% | 17 |
| 88d | QMG-MACRO4 fills | Increase | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,821 | +$94 +2.0% | 10 |
| 88d | QMG-CORE4 fills | Increase | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,800 | +$95 +1.6% | 10 |
| 89d | tweetstoday | Decrease | SellNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,974 | +$1,974 +100% | — |
| 90d |  LA17 | Increase | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,438 | −$62 −2.6% | — |
| 91d | tweetstoday | Decrease | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,231 | −$2,231 −100% | 12 |
| 94d | QMG-SCALAR2 fills | Increase | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,508 | +$83 +1.9% | 10 |
| 95d |  mewmew1 | Increase | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,019 | +$49 +1.6% | 10 |
| 97d | mewmew1 | Decrease | SellNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,281 | +$1,281 +100% | — |
| 98d | Deafening-Linguistics | No Change | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,505 | −$1,505 −100% | 10 |
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Decrease means the market gives it about 100%.