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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 435d | Kaiser973 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp37¢ → 100¢ | $6,308 | −$10,961 −174% | — |
| 435d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,165 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 435d | deeeadf | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,292 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 435d | FlowMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp>99¢ | $12,334 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 435d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,658 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 435d | kuyaki | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 436d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp>99¢ | $7,633 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 436d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,039 | −$3 −0.3% | — | |
| 436d | Hashbrown | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,490 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 436d | affs2079110 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $25,649 | +$4,099 +16% | 3 |
| 436d | asdfgo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $6,406 | +$192 +3.0% | 2 |
| 436d | TexMexTRex | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $11,729 | +$475 +4.0% | 2 |
| 436d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$62 +5.3% | 2 |
| 436d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $8,954 | +$2,388 +27% | 6 |
| 436d | FlowMo3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $10,794 | +$1,306 +12% | 3 |
| 436d | Andr3w3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp57¢ → 100¢ | $29,499 | −$22,488 −76% | — |
| 436d | hberry3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $31,000 | +$3,880 +13% | 3 |
| 436d | ayesap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $3,104 | +$382 +12% | 3 |
| 436d | Kaiser972 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $4,039 | +$3,510 +87% | 4 |
| 436d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp88¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | −$154 −14% | — |
| 436d | Darrenxiao2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $9,500 | +$765 +8.1% | 3 |
| 436d | CryZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $8,021 | +$1,102 +14% | 3 |
| 436d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $5,990 | +$969 +16% | 3 | |
| 436d | Andr3w3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp66¢ → 100¢ | $20,734 | +$10,493 +51% | 4 |
| 436d | printa | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown22¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | −$1,005 −100% | 5 |
| 436d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | −$440 −28% | — |
| 436d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $12,000 | −$12,000 −100% | 9 | |
| 436d | Andr3w2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellDown40¢ → 0¢ | $4,045 | +$4,045 +100% | — |
| 436d | dontmindme | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellUp50¢ → 100¢ | $2,771 | −$2,795 −101% | — |
| 436d | printa | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellDown66¢ → 0¢ | $4,950 | +$4,950 +100% | — |
| 436d | 0xa95bfdb | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown77¢ → 0¢ | $3,465 | −$3,465 −100% | 4 |
| 436d | kittenliter | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown80¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 3 |
| 436d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown81¢ → 0¢ | $2,430 | −$2,430 −100% | 3 |
| 436d | hberry | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown80¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 3 |
| 436d | Unruly-ElevatorNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp27¢ → 100¢ | $8,437 | +$23,328 +276% | 16 |
| 436d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | SellDown80¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | +$1,050 +100% | — |
| 436d | Andr3w2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $20,568 | −$20,568 −100% | 4 |
| 436d | Unruly-ElevatorNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $18,969 | −$18,969 −100% | 7 |
| 436d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyUp49¢ → 100¢ | $2,176 | +$2,265 +104% | 4 | |
| 437d | Exploiter | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $7,014 | −$7,014 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 6 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 7 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 6 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 7 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.