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Polymarket wallet 0x268d2a96eb8740fdca38cedf6c17450a41c57bcb · on Polymarket since Jun 6, 2025 · also shown as Unwilling-Marksman
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 436d | Will GPT-5 be released on August 7? | BuyNo4¢ | $1 |
| 436d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BuyDown<1¢ | $2 |
| 436d | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.