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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 381d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,030 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 381d | muzidf | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,888 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 381d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,958 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 381d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 381d | yuandufushu | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 381d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 381d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | +$650 +23% | 3 |
| 381d | loveIsReal | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$88 +5.3% | 2 |
| 381d | lowrisk242 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $9,525 | +$663 +7.0% | 2 |
| 381d | 0x933a9cf7d526f7f24ea7f3d092ffda0d9bfc64f32 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$1,001 +14% | 3 |
| 381d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $2,782 | +$1,565 +56% | 4 | |
| 382d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$990 +82% | 4 |
| 382d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,051 | −$1,051 −100% | 3 | |
| 382d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyDown47¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 3 |
| 382d | Samomalo | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,078 | −$1,078 −100% | 3 |
| 382d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$1,702 +85% | 3 |
| 383d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,774 +89% | 3 | |
| 383d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$3,039 +89% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 30 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 1 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 30 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 1 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.