Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,670 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 370d | lowrisk242 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,642 | +$29 +1.1% | 2 |
| 370d | adsafsdfsdfafas | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,581 | −$83 −5.3% | — |
| 370d | adsafsdfsdfafas | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 |
| 370d | exceeding7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $11,762 | +$1,495 +13% | 3 |
| 370d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | −$330 −12% | — |
| 370d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c208 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $17,369 | +$11,967 +69% | 5 |
| 370d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | SellDown35¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | +$1,050 +100% | — |
| 370d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BuyDown79¢ → 0¢ | $1,625 | −$1,625 −100% | 4 |
| 370d | Aachau | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | SellDown67¢ → 0¢ | $2,449 | +$2,449 +100% | — |
| 370d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c207 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $16,369 | −$16,369 −100% | 4 |
| 370d | Aachau2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BuyDown61¢ → 0¢ | $2,218 | −$2,218 −100% | 4 |
| 370d | easyclap6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $13,760 | −$13,760 −100% | 4 |
| 371d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $7,422 | +$6,582 +89% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 11 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 12 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 11 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 12 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.