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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,175 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 363d | FTC2222 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,741 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 363d | rwo | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,564 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 363d | oibuy | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 363d | lianx689 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,113 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 363d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $10,694 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 363d | hibrucelee2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $11,679 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 363d | goforit1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,129 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 363d | adjiuahdf | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,026 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 363d | Farmer- | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | +$54 +2.0% | 2 |
| 363d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,831 | +$254 +5.3% | 2 |
| 363d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c209 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $17,594 | +$7,070 +40% | 4 |
| 363d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | SellUp88¢ → 100¢ | $2,239 | −$305 −14% | — | |
| 363d | exceeding5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | SellUp63¢ → 100¢ | $9,480 | −$5,520 −58% | — |
| 363d | exceeding6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $9,084 | +$2,396 +26% | 3 |
| 363d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $5,910 | −$5,910 −100% | 4 |
| 363d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyDown67¢ → 0¢ | $16,667 | −$16,667 −100% | 4 | |
| 363d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | SellDown44¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | +$1,320 +100% | — |
| 363d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp36¢ → 100¢ | $2,560 | +$4,612 +180% | 7 |
| 363d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyDown63¢ → 0¢ | $3,760 | −$3,760 −100% | 4 |
| 363d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$1,043 +80% | 4 | |
| 363d | iamgone2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $4,106 | −$4,106 −100% | 4 |
| 364d | burpcoom | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $1,701 | −$1,701 −100% | 4 |
| 364d | phoku22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp46¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$6,502 +118% | 5 |
| 364d | sunnynotbunny | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyUp49¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$1,641 +103% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 18 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 19 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 18 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 19 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.