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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375d | TACmac | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,101 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 375d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $29,322 | +$29 +0.1% | 2 |
| 375d | iamgone4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown65¢ → 100¢ | $15,770 | +$8,559 +54% | 3 |
| 375d | cyh202405 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown100¢ | $1,116 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 375d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,831 | −$37 −1.0% | — | |
| 375d | lsf01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,002 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 375d | adjiuahdf | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,023 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 375d | goforit1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,050 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 375d | lowrisk2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,465 | +$35 +1.0% | 2 |
| 375d | MotherMarywithus | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | −$24 −2.0% | — |
| 375d | lowrisk243 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $8,442 | +$1,090 +13% | 3 |
| 375d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown67¢ → 100¢ | $3,808 | +$1,885 +49% | 5 |
| 375d | affs207913 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $6,285 | +$715 +11% | 3 |
| 375d | Pricey-Spleen | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyUp41¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 5 |
| 375d | imv | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyUp40¢ → 0¢ | $1,403 | −$1,403 −100% | 5 |
| 375d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $2,673 | −$2,673 −100% | 5 |
| 375d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | SellUp48¢ → 0¢ | $6,660 | +$6,660 +100% | — |
| 375d | lowrisk242 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | SellDown53¢ → 100¢ | $5,908 | −$5,270 −89% | — |
| 375d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $3,017 | +$851 +28% | 4 | |
| 375d | TheRookery | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $1,676 | +$501 +30% | 4 |
| 375d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | SellDown72¢ → 100¢ | $2,916 | −$1,131 −39% | — |
| 375d | amused85 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $4,048 | +$1,142 +28% | 4 |
| 375d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $5,534 | +$716 +13% | 3 |
| 375d | yuandufushu | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$682 +14% | 3 |
| 375d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $15,630 | +$2,191 +14% | 3 | |
| 376d | 1955-8888 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown72¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$504 +39% | 4 |
| 376d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | SellUp56¢ → 0¢ | $1,684 | +$1,684 +100% | — |
| 376d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyUp67¢ → 0¢ | $2,010 | −$2,010 −100% | 4 |
| 376d | RubiksCube | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyUp75¢ → 0¢ | $1,615 | −$1,615 −100% | 4 |
| 376d | easypredict4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyUp56¢ → 0¢ | $4,739 | −$4,739 −100% | 4 |
| 376d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown48¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$1,317 +108% | 4 | |
| 376d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $3,206 | −$3,206 −100% | 4 |
| 376d | RubiksCube | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 3 |
| 377d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BuyDown48¢ → 100¢ | $3,187 | +$3,453 +108% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 6 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 7 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 6 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 7 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.