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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 392d | 20200 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$19 +1.1% | 2 |
| 392d | muzidf | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | +$15 +1.1% | 2 |
| 392d | 0x1bd9…593d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,673 | +$55 +2.0% | 2 |
| 392d |  Trowaway2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | SellUp74¢ → 100¢ | $5,180 | −$1,820 −35% | — |
| 392d | never-gamble | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | +$48 +3.1% | 2 |
| 392d | lowrisk242 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $8,125 | +$472 +5.8% | 2 |
| 392d | Trowaway | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$240 +6.4% | 3 |
| 392d | easypredict22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $62,081 | +$34,325 +55% | 4 |
| 392d |  brockthebaby13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $29,858 | +$15,027 +50% | 5 |
| 392d | prezzel | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$857 +43% | 5 |
| 392d | suslikas | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$1,032 +49% | 5 |
| 392d | brockthebaby8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyDown57¢ → 0¢ | $14,909 | −$14,909 −100% | 4 |
| 392d | easypredict19 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyDown63¢ → 0¢ | $40,421 | −$40,421 −100% | 4 |
| 392d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyDown43¢ → 0¢ | $2,102 | −$2,102 −100% | 5 |
| 392d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | SellDown61¢ → 0¢ | $1,509 | +$1,509 +100% | — |
| 393d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$5,828 +83% | 3 |
Griffiths4,393 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 19 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 20 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 19 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 20 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.