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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383d | yuandufushu2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$346 +4.3% | 2 |
| 383d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $2,776 | +$127 +4.6% | 2 |
| 383d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$108 +8.7% | 3 | |
| 383d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$89 +8.7% | 3 |
| 384d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $6,468 | +$1,000 +15% | 3 | |
| 384d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$750 +43% | 4 |
| 384d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | 4 |
| 384d | 0xA9650de4301F45e7F090AdA7252F9c | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$1,133 +101% | 3 |
| 385d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $2,483 | +$2,483 +100% | 3 |
| 385d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,763 +88% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 28 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 29 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 28 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 29 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.