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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1040-1079 | 100% | +2 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-219 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240-259 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 260-279 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 280-299 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-319 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 320-339 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 340-359 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 360-379 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 380-399 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-419 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 420-439 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 440-459 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 460-479 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 480-499 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-519 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 520-539 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 540-559 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 560-579 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 580-599 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600-619 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 620-639 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 640-659 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 660-679 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 680-699 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 700-719 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 720-739 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 740-759 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 760-779 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 780-799 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 800-839 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 840-879 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 880-919 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 920-959 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 960-999 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1000-1039 | 0% | −22 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1080-1119 | 0% | −1 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1120-1159 | 0% | −1 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1160-1199 | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1200-1239 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1240-1279 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1280-1319 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1320-1359 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1360-1399 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1400-1439 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1440-1479 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1480-1519 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1520-1559 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1560-1599 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1600-1679 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1680-1759 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1760-1839 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1840-1919 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1920-1999 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2000+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d |  INTERNETYAMERO | 1040-1079 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,705 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | besmart2025 | 1040-1079 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,340 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | 0xc4ca…3df3 | 1040-1079 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,090 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 169d | Intelligent-Tax | 1040-1079 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,000 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 169d | hetacz | 1000-1039 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d |  Archeroon2 fills | 1000-1039 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,013 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d |  Meow12 | 1000-1039 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,641 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 170d | Intelligent-Tax | 1000-1039 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,754 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 170d | Intelligent-Tax | 1000-1039 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,658 | +$215 +1.8% | 20 |
| 170d |  AlmostRich | 1000-1039 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$172 +2.9% | 21 |
| 170d |  PredictionYogi | 1000-1039 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,248 | +$211 +6.5% | 22 |
| 170d |  Prexpect | 1000-1039 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,265 | +$735 +7.9% | 22 |
| 170d | Meow12 | 1000-1039 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$520 +9.5% | 22 |
| 170d |  Deepwinner888 | 1320-1359 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,304 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | besmart2025 | 1000-1039 | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $2,770 | −$1,770 −64% | — |
| 170d | AveliGHne | 1160-1199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 170d | Deepwinner888 | 1320-1359 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,304 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 171d |  Gustav43 fills | 1040-1079 | SellNo40¢ → 0¢ | $3,837 | +$3,837 +100% | — |
| 171d | besmart2025 | 1040-1079 | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | +$1,005 +100% | — |
| 172d | rebotsliaf | 1160-1199 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,754 | +$242 +4.2% | 21 |
| 172d |  vamnizar | 1040-1079 | SellYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | −$2,461 −154% | — |
| 172d | Intelligent-Tax | 1160-1199 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$43 +3.5% | 21 |
| 172d | rebotsliaf2 fills | 1120-1159 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $16,457 | +$6,175 +38% | 25 |
| 172d |  LinaBell🦊 | 1040-1079 | SellNo83¢ → 0¢ | $2,973 | +$2,973 +100% | — |
| 172d | rebotsliaf | 1040-1079 | BuyYes13¢ → 100¢ | $5,795 | +$37,817 +653% | 37 |
| 172d | rebotsliaf | 1080-1119 | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $11,604 | +$12,665 +109% | 26 |
| 172d | Intelligent-Tax | 1200-1239 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$29 +1.5% | 20 |
| 172d | rebotsliaf | 1200-1239 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,650 | +$50 +1.9% | 20 |
| 172d | besmart20252 fills | 1160-1199 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,482 | +$89 +3.6% | 21 |
| 172d | besmart20252 fills | 960-999 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,769 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 172d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck | 960-999 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,516 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 172d | hetacz2 fills | 960-999 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 173d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck2 fills | 960-999 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,247 | +$32 +1.4% | 20 |
| 173d |  ElonJail | 1000-1039 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,142 | −$55 −2.6% | — |
| 173d | gvbdsfvaw | 1240-1279 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$8 +0.8% | 20 |
| 173d | hetacz | 920-959 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 174d | ElonJail | 1000-1039 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,358 | +$160 +4.8% | 20 |
| 174d | ElonJail | 920-959 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,469 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 175d | ElonJail | 920-959 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,755 | +$9 +0.5% | 20 |
| 175d | besmart20253 fills | 960-999 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$84 +1.4% | 20 |
| 175d | KingOfLol2 fills | 880-919 | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,836 | +$29 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck | 1200-1239 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | +$44 +3.1% | 20 |
| 176d | laney961ivan | 1120-1159 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$331 +31% | 22 |
| 176d | KingOfLol2 fills | 840-879 | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,687 | +$31 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d | ElonJail2 fills | 880-919 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,006 | +$54 +1.8% | 20 |
| 177d | KingOfLol3 fills | 800-839 | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,761 | +$30 +0.1% | 20 |
| 177d | Bitgod | 1840-1919 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 178d | hetacz | 1920-1999 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 178d | WhiteHotIce | 1120-1159 | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | −$646 −50% | — |
| 178d | Bitgod2 fills | 1920-1999 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 179d |  Kingpin700 | 1240-1279 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,889 | +$1,228 +32% | 20 |
| 179d | malinda284maggie | 1160-1199 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$142 +14% | 20 |
| 179d | neil196beryl | 1200-1239 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$239 +21% | 20 |
| 179d | 894984887 | 1760-1839 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,007 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 179d | 894984887 | 1760-1839 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 180d | Bitgod | 780-799 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 180d | Bitgod | 2000+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 180d | nuhh66 | 1400-1439 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$16 +1.5% | 20 |
| 181d | KingOfLol | 780-799 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,962 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 181d | KingOfLol2 fills | 760-779 | BuyNo>99¢ | $43,102 | +$43 +0.1% | 20 |
MineYours1,766 shares
dz1ft261 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1040-1079 means the market gives it about 100%.