| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | No | 7,356 | 58¢ → 73¢ | $5,333 | +$1,052 +25% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 4,160 | 12¢ → 77¢ | $3,182 | +$2,683 +538% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 3,804 | 9¢ → 76¢ | $2,874 | +$2,541 +763% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 6,196 | 29¢ → 43¢ | $2,633 | +$809 +44% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,602 | 10¢ → 40¢ | $1,423 | +$1,063 +295% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | Yes | 3,516 | 74¢ → 25¢ | $861 | −$1,758 −67% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 900 | 44¢ → 77¢ | $689 | +$293 +74% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 2,200 | 50¢ → 31¢ | $682 | −$416 −38% |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,355 | 30¢ → 14¢ | $486 | −$519 −52% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,850 | 37¢ → 17¢ | $314 | −$368 −54% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,109 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $243 | −$11 −4.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 5,086 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $229 | −$280 −55% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $120 | −$50 −29% |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 774 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,824 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,970 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 705 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 302 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 281 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,276 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,785 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,499 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$249 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,656 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,054 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 970 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 267 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$169 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,011 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,027 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$272 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,265 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,825 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$625 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,499 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$226 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,499 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$337 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95,407 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$191 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 899 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,409 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 142 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 720 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,195 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,167 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 752 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$599 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,499 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$361 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 94 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,323 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 304 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 773 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 177 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 378 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 412 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,590 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 907 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,104 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$380 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 911 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$128 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,077 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,407 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,095 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$448 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,269 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,012 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$124 −100% |
| Trump out as President by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,485 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,576 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,087 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 660 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,504 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 206 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,766 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$218 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 209 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,437 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,966 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,540 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,327 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
