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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65-89 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-64 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-114 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193d |  all.in0828 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,106 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | 1647171 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,196 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 193d |  Ahinara | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,404 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | Actual-Ladle | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,671 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | 0xc41f…2a81 | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,127 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | OstapP | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,097 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | Puzzled-Homeland | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | 0xcf0d…10812 fills | 90-114 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,194 | −$162 −7.4% | — |
| 194d |  Gabbers | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,053 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | elysiian | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | yip88 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,176 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  kboss | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,108 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | Mobilc | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,472 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 194d | Mobilc | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,465 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 194d |  PredictionYogi4 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,270 | +$36 +0.3% | 20 |
| 194d | Strarper | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,732 | +$31 +0.1% | 20 |
| 194d | Pungent-Almanac | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 194d |  onchainbuda | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,497 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 194d |  MankPredict | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,891 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 194d | kboss | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,223 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 194d | dfsdfsdfd2 | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,720 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 194d |  Deepwinner888 | 65-89 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,405 | +$12 +0.5% | 20 |
| 194d | Ommamal | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,036 | +$10 +0.3% | 20 |
| 194d | WCWS | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,484 | +$15 +0.6% | 20 |
| 194d |  Turtleiny | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 194d | Puzzled-Homeland | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 194d | BinaryBaron | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,594 | +$77 +0.8% | 20 |
| 194d | Perfumed-Whirlpool | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,980 | +$18 +0.6% | 20 |
| 194d |  Annica | 65-89 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 194d | jianghua3504 | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,017 | +$13 +0.7% | 20 |
| 194d | Bankrupt-Loser | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | +$10 +0.7% | 20 |
| 194d | mamai | 65-89 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 194d | lankeleads | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 194d | Coinupup | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,020 | +$22 +1.1% | 20 |
| 194d | forestk | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,659 | +$92 +1.2% | 20 |
| 194d | nickthechopper | 65-89 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$28 +2.1% | 21 |
| 194d | all.in0828 | 90-114 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,015 | +$92 +1.8% | 21 |
| 194d | debux | 65-89 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,017 | +$47 +2.3% | 21 |
| 194d | Actual-Ladle | 90-114 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,591 | +$79 +3.0% | 21 |
| 194d | BinaryBaron2 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,856 | +$27 +0.2% | 20 |
| 194d | Ahinara | 90-114 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,328 | +$75 +3.2% | 21 |
| 194d | elysiian | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,300 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 194d |  rammus3 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,138 | +$224 +2.4% | 21 |
| 194d | loujianhui5 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,589 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  pro.crypto | 90-114 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,962 | +$127 +4.3% | 21 |
| 194d | 07nbw4 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,982 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 |
| 194d |  NEMESi | 65-89 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$85 +7.5% | 22 |
| 194d | Dhillon8836 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,091 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | yolol | 90-114 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,969 | +$323 +6.5% | 22 |
| 194d | Bankrupt-Loser | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,035 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | pamparaleipam | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,303 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | Definitive-Justice | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,265 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | thegreatrejuvenationoftheChinesenation | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,081 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | 0085 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,450 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  AlmostRich | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,993 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  Meow12 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,095 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  Mei-ji | 115-139 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 194d | pamparaleipam | 40-64 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$57 +4.6% | 21 |
| 194d | AlmostRich | 40-64 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,918 | +$74 +2.5% | 21 |
| 194d | Meow12 | 40-64 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,066 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
nimikm3,700 shares
tupac8892 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 65-89 means the market gives it about 100%.