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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600-649 | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <500 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-549 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 550-599 | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 650-699 | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 700-749 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 750-799 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 800-849 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 850-899 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 900-949 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 950-999 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1000+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602d |  OuchMyBalls | 600-649 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | w1n3r | 600-649 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,685 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | nonkenny902 fills | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,516 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | chhotukeeper | 600-649 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,243 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | 0rocky007 | 600-649 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,220 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | nonkenny90 | 600-649 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,553 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 602d |  RememberAmalek | 600-649 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,658 | +$28 +0.1% | 20 |
| 602d | RaresC | 600-649 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,512 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 602d | BeN | 650-699 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,945 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 602d |  Therealsmurf3 fills | 600-649 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $5,894 | +$1,460 +25% | 25 |
| 602d |  Naichli | 650-699 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,392 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 602d |  saragus | 600-649 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,902 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 602d | glarity3 fills | 650-699 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,432 | +$23 +0.4% | 20 |
| 602d |  Gooddfella | 600-649 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 602d | glarity2 fills | 600-649 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,786 | +$23 +0.8% | 20 |
| 602d | Lavs3838 | 600-649 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$17 −1.7% | — |
| 602d | Poory | 600-649 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,103 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 602d | cipherpilot2 fills | 600-649 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,722 | +$65 +1.0% | 20 |
| 602d |  Prexpect3 fills | 650-699 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,061 | +$782 +8.6% | 20 |
| 602d | cipherpilot | 650-699 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,839 | +$11 +0.6% | 20 |
| 602d | cipherpilot | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,915 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 602d |  Wzlomster | 600-649 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 602d |  RiseAndSunny2 fills | 650-699 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,658 | +$342 +7.3% | 21 |
| 602d | Wzlomster | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,107 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | Prexpect | 600-649 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | +$19 +1.1% | 20 |
| 602d |  pepeFight | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,042 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | cigarettes2 fills | 650-699 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,905 | +$67 +1.4% | 20 |
| 602d |  Elonurmom | 600-649 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,150 | +$30 +1.4% | 20 |
| 602d | astromage | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,586 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | leiger2 fills | 650-699 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,653 | +$75 +2.0% | 20 |
| 602d |  M5power | 600-649 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | +$26 +1.8% | 20 |
| 602d | M5power | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,406 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 602d | leiger | 600-649 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,679 | +$26 +1.5% | 20 |
| 603d | leiger | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,877 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  Gustav4 | 600-649 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$29 +1.0% | 20 |
| 603d |  PredictionYogi | 600-649 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,282 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 603d | Therealsmurf2 fills | 650-699 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,094 | +$29 +1.4% | 20 |
| 603d | Naichli | 600-649 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$35 +2.0% | 20 |
| 603d |  Alterego-628 | 600-649 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$23 +2.2% | 20 |
| 603d |  itsAlureon | 600-649 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,978 | −$131 −4.4% | — |
| 603d | glarity | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,079 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | Alterego-628 | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,043 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  Wiz92 | 600-649 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$32 +2.1% | 20 |
| 603d | Wiz922 fills | 650-699 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,022 | +$74 +2.5% | 20 |
| 603d | chhotukeeper | 600-649 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$37 +1.9% | 20 |
| 603d | MBAguy | 600-649 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$79 +5.4% | 20 |
| 603d | pepeFight | 700-749 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,042 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 603d | Gustav42 fills | 650-699 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,767 | +$225 +8.1% | 20 |
| 603d |  Wallonie4Congress | 650-699 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,457 | +$388 +8.7% | 20 |
| 603d | TonJakk | 1000+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,320 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | gandalffromtheearth | 1000+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | Therealsmurf | 700-749 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,094 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 603d | curie | 600-649 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$370 +30% | 20 |
| 603d | elkamello | 600-649 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$629 +31% | 20 |
| 603d | itsAlureon | 600-649 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$597 +30% | 20 |
| 603d |  Odder | 600-649 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $5,461 | +$1,742 +32% | 20 |
| 603d | glarity2 fills | 700-749 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,555 | +$57 +1.3% | 20 |
| 603d | astromage3 fills | 700-749 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,274 | +$73 +1.4% | 20 |
| 603d | Wiz92 | 700-749 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,929 | −$71 −3.7% | — |
| 603d |  Arlekinez | 650-699 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$291 +26% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 600-649 means the market gives it about 100%.