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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200-219 | 100% | +67 pts | +81 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | −9 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | −55 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220-239 | 0% | −3 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240-259 | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 260-279 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 280-299 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-319 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 320-339 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 340-359 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 360-379 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 380-399 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-419 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 420-439 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 440-459 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 460-479 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 480-499 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115d | Prudent-Muffin | 200-219 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,595 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | Papuasus | 200-219 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,819 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | Actual-Ladle | 200-219 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,120 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | Lined-Macadamia | 220-239 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,202 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | Intelligent-Tax2 fills | 220-239 | SellNo>99¢ | $21,696 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | niceShare | 180-199 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,400 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | Poiuztrewq | 200-219 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | zcxdady | 200-219 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 115d |  jesterthegoose8 fills | 200-219 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $32,445 | +$238 +0.7% | 20 |
| 115d | Pure-Eyeliner | 200-219 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,059 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | 0xredpanda | 220-239 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,994 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 115d | BinaryBaron | 200-219 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 115d | sqyywyz | 200-219 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,161 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 115d |  psyph3r | 200-219 | SellYes100¢ | $1,454 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 115d |  Annica | 200-219 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,854 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 115d | Actual-Ladle | 200-219 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,116 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 115d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | 200-219 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,674 | +$38 +0.3% | 20 |
| 115d | PredictionYogi | 180-199 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,186 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | PredictionYogi2 fills | 220-239 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,410 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 115d | jesterthegoose3 fills | 180-199 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,176 | +$631 +15% | 24 |
| 115d | NeoOracle | 180-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,687 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 115d | PredictionYogi | 180-199 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,747 | +$19 +0.5% | 20 |
| 115d |  Meow12 | 180-199 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,379 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | 0xredpanda | 220-239 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,991 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 115d | liq2 | 200-219 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 115d | startrader2 fills | 200-219 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,129 | +$124 +2.0% | 21 |
| 115d | karen2p | 180-199 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,213 | +$128 +5.8% | 22 |
| 115d | Meow12 | 180-199 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$11 +1.1% | 20 |
| 115d | ok26062 fills | 180-199 | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $3,088 | −$3,088 −100% | 26 |
| 116d | bipbipbop | 220-239 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,899 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 116d | Actual-Ladle | 220-239 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,117 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 116d | ProsperIntelligence | 200-219 | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,316 | −$1,316 −100% | 27 |
| 116d | onekey02 | 220-239 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,776 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 116d | hooooopeless | 180-199 | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,014 | −$1,014 −100% | 30 |
| 116d | Lined-Macadamia | 220-239 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 116d | anon.1980.123 | 220-239 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,452 | +$22 +0.5% | 20 |
| 116d | credence0918 | 180-199 | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,029 | −$1,029 −100% | 30 |
| 116d | Po1yBot-OZrhX2UfIz | 240-259 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,819 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 116d | ganlin | 240-259 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,278 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 116d | Intelligent-Tax3 fills | 220-239 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,787 | +$44 +0.5% | 20 |
| 116d | ganlin | 240-259 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,278 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 116d | Joethebirria125 | 180-199 | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$2,109 +117% | 28 |
| 116d | Actual-Ladle | 220-239 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,105 | +$14 +0.7% | 20 |
| 116d | dafei888 | 220-239 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$27 +1.1% | 20 |
| 116d | buputong | 240-259 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,500 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 116d | suifeng668 | 240-259 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,430 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 116d | nbjui1 | 220-239 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,300 | +$66 +1.2% | 20 |
| 116d | bipbipbop | 160-179 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,403 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 116d | Annica5 fills | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,910 | +$133 +0.4% | 20 |
| 116d | bipbipbop | 160-179 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 116d | 0x1f05…ba7b | 220-239 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$13 +1.1% | 20 |
| 116d | Annica | 160-179 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,761 | −$28 −1.6% | — |
| 116d | Adorable-Initial3 fills | 220-239 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$145 +1.5% | 20 |
| 116d | Ag500k | 240-259 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,389 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 116d | pingfan666 | 240-259 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$13 +0.3% | 20 |
| 117d | simengoon | 280-299 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,069 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 117d | Annica2 fills | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,100 | +$28 +0.2% | 20 |
| 117d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 117d | Ag500k | 220-239 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,869 | +$28 +1.5% | 20 |
| 117d | Top1-J | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,729 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
dz1ft19,623 shares
Viberoni3,983 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 16 12:00 PM ET to June 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 200-219 means the market gives it about 100%.