hooooopeless

Polymarket wallet 0xb7490f040a1f21576f2d92a353302fe452fbcd19 · on Polymarket since May 16, 2026 · also shown as Charming-Dependency

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $158
All-time profit: −$5.85K
Volume traded: $177K
All-time rank: #3,173,876
Markets traded: 90
Recent hit rate: 44%22 of last 50 closed

Open positions

35 markets · $158

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	205	61¢ → 77¢	$158	+$33 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	13	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	25	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,058	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$840 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	148	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	382	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	8	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	70	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	70	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	31	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	48	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	38	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	515	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$375 −100%
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	105	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreSettled - ready to redeem	Yes	102	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$56 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	14	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	114	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	13	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	107	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	125	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	196	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	150	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	15	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	51	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
25d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes61¢	$127
26d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	SellYes98¢	$124
29d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyYes79¢	$100
83d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?	SellNo98¢	$93
88d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?	SellYes50¢	$5
88d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?	BuyYes52¢	$52
88d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?	BuyNo51¢	$49
88d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?	BuyYes15¢	$2
89d	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SellYes>99¢	$107
89d	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BuyYes91¢	$98
89d	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes55¢	$57
90d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?	SellNo90¢	$72
90d	France vs. England: O/U 8.5	SellOver27¢	$13
90d	France vs. England: O/U 8.5	BuyOver51¢	$26
90d	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BuyYes4¢	$3
90d	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. England: O/U 3.5 AND France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	Buy19¢	$1
91d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?	BuyNo60¢	$24
91d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?	BuyNo59¢	$24
91d	Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves AND Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies	Buy1¢	$1
92d	Bunschoten: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans AND Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia AND Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot AND Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys AND Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker	Buy1¢	$1
93d	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SellYes83¢	$51
93d	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BuyYes8¢	$5
93d	England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England leading at halftime?	Buy2¢	$1
93d	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SellYes31¢	$9
93d	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BuyYes31¢	$10
94d	England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lionel Messi: 2+ goals	Buy9¢	$1
94d	Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	Buy6¢	$1
94d	England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Buy10¢	$1
100d	Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?	SellNo22¢	$106
100d	Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?	BuyNo62¢	$300
102d	GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?	SellYes83¢	$321
104d	GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?	BuyYes64¢	$251
104d	GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?	SellYes33¢	$30
104d	GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?	SellYes36¢	$22
105d	Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes50¢	$5
105d	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	BuyYes19¢	$20
105d	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	SellNo85¢	$2
105d	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	BuyNo87¢	$2
107d	GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?	SellYes79¢	$236
107d	GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?	BuyYes80¢	$1,169
107d	GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?	BuyYes76¢	$41
108d	Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	SellYes99¢	$1,217
108d	Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	BuyYes99¢	$1,217
109d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	SellNo91¢	$1,217
109d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	BuyNo91¢	$776
109d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	BuyNo88¢	$53
109d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	BuyNo88¢	$52
109d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	BuyNo88¢	$329
109d	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	SellNo79¢	$718
112d	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	BuyNo64¢	$584
112d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?	SellNo>99¢	$584
113d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?	BuyNo95¢	$555
114d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?	SellNo91¢	$623
114d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?	SellNo91¢	$182
114d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?	BuyNo62¢	$559
114d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	SellYes58¢	$146
115d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?	SellYes35¢	$32
115d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?	BuyYes53¢	$51
115d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	BuyYes65¢	$152
115d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	BuyYes60¢	$15

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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