Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180-199 | 100% | +63 pts | +82 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-219 | 0% | −53 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220-239 | 0% | −9 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240-259 | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 260-279 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 280-299 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-319 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 320-339 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 340-359 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 360-379 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 380-399 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-419 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 420-439 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 440-459 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 460-479 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 480-499 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105d | niceShare | 200-219 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,738 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 105d | Poiuztrewq | 180-199 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,701 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 105d |  zb8 | 180-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,168 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 105d |  LinaBell🦊 | 200-219 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,171 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 105d | ok2606 | 180-199 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,198 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 105d |  Green.Gold | 180-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,073 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 106d | ok2606 | 180-199 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | +$37 +2.0% | 21 |
| 106d | yolol2 fills | 200-219 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$108 +2.2% | 21 |
| 106d | Actual-Ladle | 200-219 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,525 | +$92 +3.6% | 21 |
| 106d | JustMeZ | 220-239 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,574 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | Traingman | 200-219 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,448 | +$129 +5.3% | 22 |
| 106d | Intelligent-Tax3 fills | 200-219 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,652 | +$382 +5.7% | 22 |
| 106d | Intelligent-Tax | 180-199 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$175 +9.5% | 23 |
| 106d |  y111m11 | 200-219 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$124 +11% | 23 |
| 106d | 0xredpanda2 fills | 180-199 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,141 | +$499 +12% | 24 |
| 106d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 220-239 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,782 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 106d | lowguard | 220-239 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,135 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 106d | Actual-Ladle | 220-239 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,527 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 106d | 0B06 | 180-199 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,680 | +$354 +13% | 24 |
| 106d | Hurtful-SnowNew account | 180-199 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,750 | +$413 +15% | 31 |
| 106d | carboyant | 220-239 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,473 | +$19 +0.3% | 20 |
| 106d | Repulsive-Hit | 220-239 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,541 | −$11 −0.7% | — |
| 106d | JustMeZ | 220-239 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 106d | JustMeZ | 240-259 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,272 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | onekey02 | 240-259 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 106d | 0x37fb…3f5c | 200-219 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$617 +47% | 28 |
| 106d | ProsperIntelligence | 180-199 | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$301 −26% | — |
| 106d | yolol2 fills | 180-199 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $4,383 | +$1,386 +32% | 26 |
| 106d | yolol3 fills | 220-239 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $30,000 | +$302 +1.0% | 20 |
| 106d | fghsrthrhrshrsth | 160-179 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | Actual-Ladle | 220-239 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,480 | +$52 +2.1% | 21 |
| 106d | luca88 | 240-259 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 106d | buputong | 260-279 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,984 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | Intelligent-Tax4 fills | 220-239 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $11,469 | +$733 +6.4% | 22 |
| 106d | nbjui1 | 240-259 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,189 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 106d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 260-279 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,089 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 106d | anon.1980.123 | 220-239 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,248 | +$177 +4.2% | 21 |
| 106d |  Annica | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,331 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 106d | nole-ksum | 240-259 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 106d | splito | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,597 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 106d | Saori.Kido | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,928 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 106d | CakeBake2 fills | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,590 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 106d | JustMeZ | 260-279 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,224 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 106d |  Mei-ji | 260-279 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,032 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 106d | bipbipbop | 240-259 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 106d |  Elonurmom | 240-259 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 106d | onekey02 | 260-279 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,176 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 106d | Adorable-Initial3 fills | 240-259 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,495 | +$92 +1.0% | 20 |
| 106d | sazzaa | 180-199 | SellYes18¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | −$5,881 −461% | — |
| 106d | still | 180-199 | SellNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,214 | +$1,214 +100% | — |
| 106d |  dz1ft | 180-199 | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $2,525 | −$2,525 −100% | 24 |
| 106d | Intelligent-Tax3 fills | 240-259 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,903 | +$283 +4.1% | 21 |
| 107d | buputong2 fills | 260-279 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,285 | +$67 +1.1% | 20 |
| 107d | nbjui1 | 260-279 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 107d | nole-ksum | 260-279 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,626 | −$17 −0.6% | — |
| 107d | Alienkind | 180-199 | BuyYes26¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$3,178 +281% | 26 |
| 107d | anon.1980.123 | 240-259 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,928 | +$76 +2.6% | 20 |
| 107d | pingfan666 | 260-279 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,174 | +$27 +0.5% | 20 |
| 107d | mobiledanger15 | 280-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 107d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | 160-179 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,087 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
BigMackyG3,839 sharesdz1ft2,503 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 26 12:00 PM ET to July 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 180-199 means the market gives it about 100%.