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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65-89 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-64 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-114 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132d | Po1yBot-Jgb24zFpNP | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,669 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 132d | Pure-Eyeliner | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,143 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 132d | Po1yBot-E9jhqgsFUH | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,034 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 132d |  Juhuaguan-2 | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,219 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 132d | BinaryBaron2 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,756 | +$33 +0.2% | 20 |
| 132d |  PredictionYogi5 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $16,698 | +$329 +2.0% | 21 |
| 132d |  upont | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,061 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 132d |  wakuwaku3 | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,385 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 132d |  FraterTetractous | 90-114 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,588 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 133d |  BaoFuBro | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 133d | Po1yBot-31gZTTt2kH | 65-89 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,719 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 133d | PredictionYogi | 65-89 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,462 | −$55 −1.0% | — |
| 133d | YuzuLemon | 40-64 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,021 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 133d |  jesterthegoose | 65-89 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,954 | +$282 +9.6% | 23 |
| 133d | Jackybrown | 65-89 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 21 |
| 133d | YuzuLemon | 40-64 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$121 +6.3% | 22 |
| 133d |  LinaBell🦊 | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,659 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 133d | nole-ksum | 90-114 | SellNo100¢ | $1,035 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 133d | WCWS2 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,023 | +$46 +0.7% | 20 |
| 133d | Intelligent-Tax4 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,618 | +$53 +0.5% | 20 |
| 133d |  Archeroon | 65-89 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,842 | −$548 −9.4% | — |
| 133d | Po1yBot-9mElSBXVwM | 65-89 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,829 | +$108 +5.9% | 21 |
| 133d | Bandz55 | 40-64 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | −$59 −4.9% | — |
| 133d | bipbipbop2 fills | 90-114 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,666 | −$107 −4.0% | — |
| 133d | Separate-Beast2 fills | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 133d | startrader | 40-64 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$259 +25% | 25 |
| 133d | nbjui1 | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,013 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 133d | bipbipbop | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,151 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 133d | Ag500k | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,078 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 133d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,337 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d |  Mei-ji | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d | Rickz88 | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,377 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 133d | luca88 | 90-114 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$25 +1.7% | 20 |
| 133d | buputong | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d | suifeng668 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d | dafei888 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d | nbjui12 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,011 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d | pingfan666 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,989 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 133d | hansenyang | 40-64 | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | −$566 −47% | — |
| 133d | upont | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,035 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 133d | anon.1980.123 | 90-114 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$50 +4.3% | 21 |
| 133d | hetacz2 fills | <40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,492 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 133d | SmolDog | 40-64 | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$458 −44% | — |
| 133d | Degenerate-Dude | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,983 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 133d | havetodoc | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,577 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 133d | Optimal-Overclocking | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,359 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 133d | havetodoc | <40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,261 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 133d | upont | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,289 | +$16 +0.3% | 20 |
| 134d | Ag500k3 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,494 | +$145 +2.6% | 20 |
| 134d | nole-ksum | 90-114 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$46 +2.3% | 20 |
| 135d | Bronze-Pastor | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,664 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 135d | Bronze-Pastor | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,666 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 136d |  Boss7 | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,634 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
nimikm3,700 shares
MoneySignal142 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 65-89 means the market gives it about 100%.