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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuno Santo | 100% | +57 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Arne Slot | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mikel Arteta | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pep Guardiola | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Enzo Maresca | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ruben Amorim | 0% | −30 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thomas Frank | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eddie Howe | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unai Emery | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Regis Le Bri | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Moyes | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Glasner | 0% | −19 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabian Hurzeler | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scott Parker | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marco Silva | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keith Andrews | 0% | −4 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andoni Iraola | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Graham Potter | 0% | −41 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vitor Pereira | 0% | −20 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Farke | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403d | RolandChang | Nuno Santo | SellYes>99¢ | $1,548 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 403d |  exit-liqudity | Nuno Santo | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,122 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 403d |  thefakenick | Vitor Pereira | SellNo>99¢ | $4,087 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 403d | thefakenick | Keith Andrews | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 403d | thefakenick | Vitor Pereira | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,034 | +$57 +1.4% | 4 |
This is a polymarket to predict which English Premier League (EPL) soccer manager is fired first during the 2025–26 season. If the listed manager is the first manager to be officially fired, dismissed, or sacked by their respective EPL club during the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If multiple managers are fired on the same calendar day, resolution will be based on the earliest official announcement time. If a manager resigns, mutually agrees to part ways, or departs for another job, this will not count as being fired, and that will not qualify as "Yes" for this market. If no EPL managers are fired by May 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source will be official club announcements or official EPL communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Nuno Santo means the market gives it about 100%.