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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,500 | 0% | −90 pts | −90 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2,400 | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2,700 | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2,600 | 0% | −29 pts | −74 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2,300 | 100% | 0 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2,900 | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2,200 | 100% | 0 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2,800 | 0% | −1 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3,100 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3,200 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | POLL11 | 2,400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,920 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | averagerandomman | 2,400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | AnonymousPerson2 fills | 2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,775 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | AnonymousPerson | 2,300 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,697 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 2,500 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,044 | +$1,457 +36% | 4 |
| 9d |  spica258 | 2,300 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,657 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 9d |  Facaie | 2,400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 9d | Facaie | 2,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | honk75 | 2,600 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | −$17 −1.1% | — |
| 9d | spica258 | 2,300 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,660 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 2,500 | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $3,137 | −$3,137 −100% | 3 |
| 9d | detoxification | 2,400 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 9d | detoxification | 2,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 9d | H.xs | 2,300 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,065 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | wyh. | 2,300 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,030 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 2,400 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,035 | +$45 +2.2% | 2 |
| 10d |  GoodLuck68886 | 2,400 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$16 +1.5% | 2 |
| 10d | GoodLuck68886 | 2,500 | SellYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,480 | +$1,480 +100% | — |
| 10d | averagerandomman | 2,200 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 10d | GoodLuck68886 | 2,900 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 10d | chet010 | 2,500 | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | −$1,213 −100% | 2 |
| 10d | GoodLuck68886 | 2,900 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 11d | GoodLuck68886 | 2,500 | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,168 | −$1,168 −100% | 2 |
balthazar450 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 2,500 means the market gives it about 0%.