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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202d | retroactivesource9 fills | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $20,954 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 202d |  Endgametheory | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $2,007 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | ShouShouKKos | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,537 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | lumetea | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $1,818 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 202d | Jeff.DD | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $1,231 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | solaenge | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $2,161 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 202d |  soylentgoy | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,303 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | OrwellFactory2 fills | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,169 | +$24 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d |  LewLewZZ | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | LewLewZZ | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,301 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | 08AF | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 202d | retroactivesource8 fills | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $25,440 | +$2,184 +8.6% | 5 |
| 202d | retroactivesource | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | +$18 +1.4% | 4 |
| 202d |  Morbuu | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 202d | SaylorMoon2 fills | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $11,451 | +$1,141 +10.0% | 5 |
| 202d | Tobias1909 | George Russell | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$137 +9.3% | 5 |
| 202d | products | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | ebiazus | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,919 | +$456 +16% | 5 |
| 202d |  AvocadosFromMexico | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,350 | +$668 +15% | 5 |
| 202d | Tobias1909 | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,062 | −$1,062 −100% | 6 |
| 202d | retroactivesource5 fills | George Russell | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $12,887 | −$12,887 −100% | 5 |
| 202d | mwenya | George Russell | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,626 | −$1,626 −100% | 5 |
| 202d | ebiazus | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 202d | Tobias1909 | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes25¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$3,609 +300% | 6 |
| 202d | mwenya2 fills | George Russell | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$1,760 +79% | 6 |
| 202d | AvocadosFromMexico | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$40 +3.6% | 4 |
| 202d | Frank-Bowl | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 202d | products | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | AvocadosFromMexico | George Russell | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,809 | +$1,018 +56% | 4 |
| 202d | rabby10 | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$920 +85% | 4 |
| 202d | lionss | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,786 | +$1,522 +85% | 4 |
| 202d | Fitting-Consequence3 fills | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $4,032 | −$4,032 −100% | 4 |
| 202d |  DavidShekel3 fills | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $4,569 | +$4,052 +89% | 4 |
| 202d | DavidShekel | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,826 | +$288 +7.5% | 4 |
| 202d | PeterSagan | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,519 | −$1,519 −100% | 4 |
| 202d | 0x306e06d4457dc86d88671a788c77b17e8c213a7c | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,131 | +$60 +1.9% | 4 |
| 203d | DavidShekel | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,392 | +$74 +3.1% | 4 |
| 203d | Jest552 fills | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,850 | +$150 +3.1% | 4 |
| 203d |  Nooserac | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$36 +3.2% | 4 |
| 204d | nickthechopper2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,675 | +$86 +2.3% | 4 |
| 204d | Predictandbreathe | George Russell | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $2,095 | −$2,095 −100% | 4 |
| 204d | XVFlow | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,326 | +$37 +0.4% | 4 |
| 204d | XVFlow | Oliver Bearman | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,167 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 204d | XVFlow | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,435 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | tsekinming01 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,122 | +$113 +3.6% | 4 |
| 213d | immenseAnimal | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | −$36 −3.1% | — |
| 213d | preventAssume | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | −$33 −3.1% | — |
| 213d | fluidtv25 | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$35 −3.1% | — |
| 213d | Laptopname | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$37 −3.1% | — |
| 213d | mean9509 | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$31 −3.1% | — |
| 213d | airGrid | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | −$38 −3.1% | — |
| 213d | inject-upgrade | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | −$47 −3.1% | — |
| 213d | inject-upgrade | Max Verstappen | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | +$47 +3.1% | 4 |
| 213d | warrior-elite | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | −$48 −3.5% | — |
| 213d | hurtjm68 | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | −$47 −3.5% | — |
| 213d | Globe-Degree | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | −$46 −3.5% | — |
| 213d | fitness394 | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | −$51 −3.6% | — |
| 213d | jazznd61 | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$38 −3.6% | — |
| 213d | fitness394 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$53 +3.7% | 4 |
| 213d | tiny185 | Max Verstappen | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | −$55 −4.7% | — |
AgentBettyBets10,000 shares
Simbaaaa1,177 shares
DOLLAR-PRINTER1,140 shares
LightningSrikeTT1,000 sharesThis is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Andrea Kimi Antonelli means the market gives it about 100%.