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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 290d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,115 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 295d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,027 | +$71 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 295d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,474 | +$138 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 296d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,561 | +$29 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 298d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,027 | −$12 −0.6% | — | |
| 309d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $20,315 | +$547 +2.7% | 20 | |
| 310d | ckkv112 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,807 | +$34 +1.2% | 20 |
| 330d | PersonalLeoACC | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | −$26 −2.2% | — |
| 330d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,150 | +$42 +1.9% | 20 | |
| 331d | LG99 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,644 | +$39 +2.4% | 20 |
| 363d | Toff1985 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$38 +3.5% | 20 |
| 402d | gorovi | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $17,476 | +$1,116 +6.4% | 20 |
| 528d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,102 | +$140 +6.7% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time between May 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.