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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bev Craig | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kate Green | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Laura Evans | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nick Buckley | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dan Barker | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hannah Spencer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jake Austin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Dennett | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arooj Shah | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Geraldine Coggins | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marlon Scott West | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Richard Kilpatrick | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sian Astley | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Galloway | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AB | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AC | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AE | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AF | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AG | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AH | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AI | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AJ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AK | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AL | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AN | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AO | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77d |  Everestpredictions | Bev Craig | SellYes>99¢ | $1,407 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | OLOTH | Geraldine Coggins | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,439 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 79d | OLOTH2 fills | Bev Craig | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,369 | +$58 +0.4% | 10 |
| 80d | FxnEdge | Geraldine Coggins | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,124 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 80d | BISTURI | Bev Craig | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,997 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 81d | 246456546gdfgtg | Bev Craig | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,730 | +$34 +0.3% | 10 |
| 81d | Zebedeee3 fills | Bev Craig | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $13,792 | −$572 −4.1% | — |
| 85d |  Jellow23 fills | Bev Craig | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $9,559 | +$1,422 +15% | 10 |
| 93d | paval | Bev Craig | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$30 −2.5% | — |
| 95d | nedsta | Bev Craig | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,270 | +$330 +5.3% | 10 |
| 95d |  PantheraUncia | Bev Craig | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$300 +6.4% | 10 |
| 96d |  knrad2 fills | Bev Craig | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,133 | +$200 +6.4% | 10 |
| 98d | Capital-Waterspout | Bev Craig | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,513 | +$160 +6.4% | 10 |
| 99d | StudentMoney2 fills | Bev Craig | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,266 | +$588 +8.1% | 10 |
| 104d | momo513 | Bev Craig | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$240 +8.7% | 10 |
| 105d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Geraldine Coggins | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,057 | +$67 +1.3% | 10 |
| 105d | 0x0D6283aC745742D954c972400D417a3AC03727e | Bev Craig | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$133 +9.9% | 10 |
| 108d |  Seutervoinen2 fills | Bev Craig | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,650 | +$729 +20% | 10 |
| 108d | Healthy-Gathering | Bev Craig | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | +$230 +11% | 10 |
| 110d | KiernanMeister3 fills | Dan Barker | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,669 | +$167 +1.9% | 10 |
| 114d | Zebedeee2 fills | Bev Craig | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $12,456 | +$2,494 +20% | 10 |
| 114d |  BiDiFakePolls3 fills | Bev Craig | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $6,844 | +$1,668 +24% | 10 |
| 114d |  FrozenParasite | Geraldine Coggins | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,167 | +$333 +8.0% | 10 |
| 115d | allwithjohn | Bev Craig | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$247 +23% | 10 |
| 116d | lineth | Geraldine Coggins | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$137 +11% | 10 |
p10ama1,900 sharesThe 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bev Craig means the market gives it about 100%.