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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+ | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+ | 100% | +22 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Lot 11 Klimt – 75m+ | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lot 12 Martin – 13m+ | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lot 8 Klimt – 150m+ | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lot 19 Rauschenberg – 2m+ | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lot 5 Matisse – 10m+ | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lot 4 Van Gogh – 9m+ | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lot 17 Martin – 2m+ | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lot 15 Matisse – 9m+ | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lot 6 Munch – 25m+ | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329d | hgoni | Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,213 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 329d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | SellNo>99¢ | $24,975 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 330d |  bamesjond2 fills | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | SellNo>99¢ | $5,216 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 330d |  zb8 | Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,571 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 331d | Luka788 | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,168 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 331d | 033033033 | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,767 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 331d | pretzel | Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,326 | +$32 +0.1% | 4 |
| 331d | lasso | Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 331d | lasso | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,164 | +$33 +0.1% | 4 |
| 331d |  0xdc3E831cad2 fills | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,049 | +$27 +0.5% | 4 |
| 331d |  PaddyAlpha3 fills | Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,370 | +$32 +0.4% | 4 |
| 331d |  aenews26 fills | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,276 | +$293 +1.0% | 4 |
| 331d | PaddyAlpha2 fills | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,939 | +$18 +0.6% | 4 |
| 331d | aenews24 fills | Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,854 | +$91 +0.7% | 4 |
| 331d | bamesjond2 fills | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,969 | +$142 +2.0% | 4 |
| 331d | hollyber | Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,750 | −$250 −2.6% | — |
| 331d |  mioki | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,090 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 332d | mioki | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,090 | +$48 +2.3% | 4 |
| 332d | 0xc8ef…5232 | Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $3,750 | −$3,750 −100% | 14 |
| 332d |  wolfofshelbyy | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$53 +4.2% | 4 |
| 332d | RevealGuess | Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $2,039 | −$2,039 −100% | 9 |
| 332d | ballboy95 | Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 332d | NeoWick | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,818 | −$1,818 −100% | 4 |
| 332d |  TeemuPukki | Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,254 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 332d | TeemuPukki | Lot 12 Martin – 13m+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 332d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,940 | +$141 +2.0% | 4 |
| 332d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+ | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,412 | +$377 +11% | 4 |
| 332d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Lot 12 Martin – 13m+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,970 | +$80 +2.0% | 4 |
| 332d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Lot 11 Klimt – 75m+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,629 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 332d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,719 | +$149 +1.0% | 4 |
j0ra22820,000 shares
bnehjts0n99111,000 shares
Libraritun5,000 sharesThis market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction). This market will resolve to "Yes" if [ARTWORK TITLE] (Lot [LOT NUMBER]) sells for [STRIKE PRICE] USD or more. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the hammer price as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots. .
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+ means the market gives it about 0%.