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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +62 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721d | ulfric | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,849 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 721d | Rtm234 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,697 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 721d | Naomiosi | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,823 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 721d |  MEPP | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,902 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 721d |  BobMenendez | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,464 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 721d | FreeMoney1 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes>99¢ | $10,932 | −$44 −0.4% | — |
| 721d |  HaterzLoserz3 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $28,907 | −$7,954 −28% | — |
| 721d | planetnine3 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $34,356 | +$2,062 +6.0% | 20 |
| 721d |  50Whence28 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $134,545 | +$35,809 +27% | 20 |
| 721d | CYQ-7212 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $5,986 | −$2,290 −38% | — |
| 721d |  Secret14thKey3 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $10,555 | −$10,555 −100% | 30 |
| 721d |  Freddy5 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $14,881 | −$14,881 −100% | 32 |
| 721d |  enderone | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$65 +6.1% | 20 |
| 721d | 0xLeonadis2 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,805 | +$1,414 +37% | 22 |
| 721d | Ffiebdhkwbs2 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $2,413 | −$2,413 −100% | 23 |
| 721d |  ImJustKen5 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $22,299 | +$19,914 +89% | 20 |
| 721d | Mandooo6 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $13,900 | +$11,542 +83% | 22 |
| 721d | Vladimir0072 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,036 | −$2,036 −100% | 22 |
| 721d | Magamyman11 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $25,982 | +$28,809 +111% | 22 |
| 721d | sd2333 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | −$1,893 −142% | — |
| 721d | sd2333 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $2,764 | +$3,146 +114% | 23 |
| 721d | homestead | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 22 |
| 721d |  mr.ozi | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,446 | −$1,446 −100% | 22 |
| 722d |  RememberAmalek3 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo18¢ → 0¢ | $6,434 | −$6,434 −100% | 31 |
| 722d | ulfric | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$1,678 +137% | 22 |
| 722d | Saltyballs5 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $8,994 | +$6,231 +69% | 20 |
| 722d | Moj2 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $3,045 | −$3,045 −100% | 21 |
| 722d | 0xffffffff3 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $3,739 | −$3,739 −100% | 22 |
| 722d | tu.tutubarao2 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $2,760 | −$2,760 −100% | 22 |
| 722d |  xoxoxololxo | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $3,465 | −$3,465 −100% | 22 |
| 722d | Sisco78 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | −$1,012 −100% | 22 |
| 722d | qwertyuiop123qw | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $3,936 | −$3,936 −100% | 22 |
| 722d |  Nancy-Pelosi | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,664 | −$1,664 −100% | 22 |
| 722d | Polygon12342 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $3,409 | −$3,409 −100% | 22 |
| 722d | Test345 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $14,602 | −$23,526 −161% | — |
| 722d | PolyOG2 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $18,004 | −$10,416 −58% | — |
| 722d |  BustedCungly2 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $3,370 | −$3,370 −100% | 21 |
| 722d | stamjer | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $4,971 | +$4,921 +99% | 22 |
| 723d | Freddy3 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $4,737 | +$4,737 +100% | — |
| 723d | NiceGuy-602 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 22 |
| 723d | ReCOn911 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 20 |
| 723d |  Energeticone | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$1,249 +115% | 20 |
| 723d |  Harmonicca2 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $4,326 | −$4,326 −100% | 20 |
| 723d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,376 | +$1,383 +100% | 20 |
| 723d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec4 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $4,982 | −$4,982 −100% | 25 |
| 723d | Bankrupt01 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $34,883 | −$34,883 −100% | 20 |
| 723d | riseagain | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,276 | −$1,276 −100% | 20 |
| 723d |  just.some.guy8 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $15,636 | −$15,636 −100% | 20 |
| 723d | finmtebbelzz | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 20 |
| 723d | ImJustKen5 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $21,111 | −$21,111 −100% | 32 |
| 723d | willbelucky2 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $6,059 | −$6,059 −100% | 23 |
| 723d | 0x7552…4adf | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,256 | −$1,256 −100% | 20 |
| 723d | AndrewShuvalov | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $2,463 | −$2,463 −100% | 21 |
| 723d |  Ferguson0500Turd2 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $8,260 | +$5,749 +70% | 20 |
| 723d |  KeepGambling | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,158 | −$1,158 −100% | 20 |
| 723d |  Arbguy2 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $5,576 | +$4,554 +82% | 20 |
| 723d | 50Whence5 fills | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $12,876 | −$12,958 −101% | — |
| 723d |  fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | Israel military response against Iran in October? | SellNo46¢ → 0¢ | $1,089 | +$1,089 +100% | — |
| 723d |  Boltt | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,354 +90% | 20 |
| 723d |  Car | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | −$1,021 −100% | 20 |
aldynspeedruns25,196 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies between October 1, 2024, and October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.