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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d |  CaptainCoinflip3 fills | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,815 | +$78 +0.9% | 4 |
| 172d | Playful-Collateral2 fills | April 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,609 | −$58 −2.2% | — |
| 175d | matanicos | April 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | −$45 −2.8% | — |
| 176d | matanicos | April 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | +$48 +3.0% | 4 |
| 179d | KiernanMeister | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,783 | +$69 +1.8% | 4 |
| 184d |  AlAhmeda | April 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$36 +2.9% | 4 |
| 185d |  A110 | April 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,650 | −$90 −3.4% | — |
| 189d | Doriath | April 30 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | −$69 −5.5% | — |
| 192d |  cryptedkev | April 30 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | +$132 +9.9% | 4 |
| 198d | Apprehensive-Bloomer | April 30 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,569 | −$421 −5.6% | — |
| 199d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,767 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 199d | ears | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,494 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 202d | cashy | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 202d | Apprehensive-Bloomer3 fills | April 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,490 | +$500 +6.7% | 4 |
| 206d | generalVR | March 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,547 | +$45 +1.8% | 4 |
| 209d | ReneeJordan6736 | April 30 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$165 −15% | — |
| 211d | ReneeJordan6736 | April 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$165 +15% | 4 |
| 212d | wqujvj | March 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$39 +3.1% | 4 |
| 214d | nrod80 | April 30 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$224 +19% | 4 |
| 214d | cryptorats | April 30 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$215 +19% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military by the listed daye 11:59 PM PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for April 30 means the market gives it about 0%.