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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483d |  JJo3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,950 | +$313 +5.3% | 20 |
| 483d | wsssssw | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,180 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 483d | Vilgefortz2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,845 | −$18 −0.6% | — |
| 483d | Mr.Fujin | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,495 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 483d | wubddh | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 483d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C292 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,715 | −$260 −1.1% | — |
| 483d |  wyhdamowang | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,622 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 483d |  scottxia1988 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,073 | −$15 −0.4% | — |
| 483d | yeary4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,161 | +$36 +0.1% | 20 |
| 483d | hindu3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,784 | +$132 +0.6% | 20 |
| 483d | notlauren | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,514 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 483d | lijialijia2020 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,179 | −$27 −0.6% | — |
| 483d | dmz2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,613 | +$35 +0.5% | 20 |
| 483d | chuchulong4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,836 | −$56 −0.8% | — |
| 483d |  UtolsoAkciohos | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,033 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 483d |  GoldFinch | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 483d | CanadianGoose3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,064 | +$89 +1.1% | 20 |
| 483d | Green-InitializeNew account | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,294 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 483d | Trump2028 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,681 | +$69 +0.6% | 20 |
| 484d |  Sivert | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,194 | +$35 +1.6% | 20 |
| 484d | Koha92 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $31,421 | −$521 −1.7% | — |
| 484d | Dbrain | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | −$19 −1.3% | — |
| 484d | spark1 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,973 | −$27 −1.4% | — |
| 484d | funguy1988 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
| 484d | chuchulong | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,938 | +$33 +1.1% | 20 |
| 484d |  WaitHope | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $27,770 | +$295 +1.1% | 20 |
| 484d |  AVAAL | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$15 +1.4% | 20 |
| 484d | esac2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,850 | +$95 +2.5% | 21 |
| 484d |  reizo | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$20 +1.8% | 20 |
| 484d |  Funfzig2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,115 | +$334 +4.7% | 21 |
| 484d |  BNBNY | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | +$95 +5.4% | 22 |
| 484d | flydartball | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 31 |
| 484d | Mr.Fujin9 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $23,695 | +$1,337 +5.6% | 21 |
| 484d | Vilgefortz | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,606 | +$94 +2.6% | 21 |
| 485d | AlexTdr3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,445 | +$169 +3.8% | 21 |
| 485d |  Anjun | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,808 | −$143 −5.1% | — |
| 485d | Ddddda-204 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$50 +4.1% | 21 |
| 485d | Koha92 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $30,989 | +$953 +3.1% | 21 |
| 485d | lowrisk2 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$65 +4.2% | 21 |
| 485d | nonkenny90 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,817 | +$133 +4.7% | 21 |
| 485d |  betwick | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $9,440 | +$560 +5.9% | 21 |
| 485d | LuckyPuncher | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | +$92 +5.9% | 21 |
| 485d |  sigh3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $16,342 | +$980 +6.0% | 22 |
| 485d | reng599 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,900 | +$261 +3.3% | 21 |
| 485d | Bukaj | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$94 +3.1% | 21 |
| 485d | chenmocm | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$99 +5.0% | 21 |
| 485d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,814 | +$80 +4.4% | 21 |
| 485d | lowrisk242 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,790 | +$210 +5.5% | 21 |
| 485d | Real-AdvertisementNew account | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$54 +5.3% | 23 |
| 485d |  lil-uzi-squirt | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$75 +5.3% | 21 |
| 485d | Knowner22 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,189 | +$391 +5.4% | 21 |
| 486d | Anjun | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$71 +5.3% | 21 |
| 486d |  just.some.guy | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,413 | +$157 +6.5% | 21 |
| 486d | pondoxva | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$121 +8.0% | 21 |
| 486d | Kelpy | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $12,445 | −$1,727 −14% | — |
| 486d |  TeemuPukki | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$89 +7.5% | 21 |
| 486d | Folletin | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,333 | +$464 +8.7% | 21 |
| 486d | iSway2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,355 | +$657 +8.9% | 21 |
| 486d | 24532255 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$137 +10% | 22 |
| 486d | Shahzad | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran of for any length of time between June 15, 2025, and June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Khamenei has remained Supreme Leader for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the government of Iran, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.